Economy Prediction Markets
Central-bank decisions, inflation prints, and macro outcomes ahead of the official releases. Live odds on 105 open markets, updated continuously.
- Fed Decision in October?87%No change$474.4K 24h
- Largest Company end of October 2026?73%NVIDIA$75.7K 24h
- Fed Decision in December?76%25 bps increase$74.3K 24h
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?13%Yes$73.7K 24h
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap26%$1.75–$2.0T$43.0K 24h
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?89%↑ $100$41.4K 24h
- Bank of England decision in November?94%25 bps increase$31.4K 24h
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?97%0 (0 bps)$30.9K 24h
- Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?59%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate$21.9K 24h
- Largest Company end of December 2026?68%NVIDIA$19.7K 24h
- US imports Russian diesel by...?32%November 30$18.8K 24h
- AI bubble burst by...?16%June 30, 2027$17.9K 24h
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?28%Below 4.50%$17.9K 24h
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap45%1.5T+$17.8K 24h
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?13%December 31$17.6K 24h
- Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?63%32% to 34%$15.6K 24h
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?69%SpaceX$14.7K 24h
- 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?74%Apple$11.8K 24h
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?11%Yes$10.0K 24h
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?69%2 (50 bps)$10.0K 24h
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?48%$1.50–$1.75T$9.8K 24h
- Anthropic IPO by … ?75%December 31, 2026$9.6K 24h
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?39%Below 5.20%$8.6K 24h
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?97%No change$8.3K 24h
- Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?29%December 31, 2028$7.7K 24h
- Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?27%December 31, 2028$7.6K 24h
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?26%Below 4.7%$7.6K 24h
- ECB Interest Rates: October 202696%No change$7.5K 24h
- Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?50%$900B-$1.00T$7.3K 24h
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit … by December 31?84%↑$1.5T$7.0K 24h
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?23%<$1T$6.9K 24h
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)59%1.8T+$6.5K 24h
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?54%November 2026$6.3K 24h
- General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth?50%-1.5% to 0%$5.3K 24h
- Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?64%Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$5.2K 24h
- STRC hits $100 by…75%December 31$5.2K 24h
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?2%Yes$5.0K 24h
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?82%↓ $56$4.8K 24h
- Fed rate cut by...?51%July 2027 Meeting$4.8K 24h
- Fed Decision in January?63%No change$4.5K 24h
- Who will be arrested before 2027?21%John Brennan$3.8K 24h
- What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?87%↑ $150$3.8K 24h
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?79%Yes$3.7K 24h
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?77%4.3-4.6%$3.7K 24h
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?5%5.0%$3.6K 24h
- Will gas hit … by end of October?48%↑ $4.50$3.5K 24h
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?63%↑ $8,000$3.4K 24h
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?94%↓ $760$3.4K 24h
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit … by December 31?65%↑$1.25T$3.3K 24h
- Crude Oil all time high by...?24%March 31, 2027$3.3K 24h
- Bank of Israel Decision in October?92%No Change$3.2K 24h
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?59%5.70%$3.1K 24h
- What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?87%↓ $700$3.0K 24h
- Nothing Ever Happens: October96%Nothing$2.9K 24h
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?92%None by December 25, 2026$2.9K 24h
- Bank of Korea decision in October?96%No Change$2.8K 24h
- Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)59%Pause-Hike-Pause$2.8K 24h
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?83%↑ $4,200$2.7K 24h
- Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth?57%15% to 18%$2.6K 24h
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?76%↓ $172$2.6K 24h
- CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?28%December 31, 2029$2.5K 24h
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?30%$4.00-$4.50T$2.4K 24h
- USD x Iranian rials End of December?26%3.0 - 3.5M$2.4K 24h
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?7%Yes$2.3K 24h
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?4%Yes$2.3K 24h
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026?60%Yes$2.3K 24h
- US x Cuba economic deal by...?12%Yes$2.1K 24h
- Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?56%November 30$2.1K 24h
- What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?87%↑ $360$2.0K 24h
- What will Gold (GC) hit … by end of December?50%↑ $4,500$2.0K 24h
- Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth?52%12.5% to 15%$2.0K 24h
- Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?7%Yes$2.0K 24h
- Core PCE YoY - September 202655%3.1%$1.8K 24h
- McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth?63%1% to 2%$1.8K 24h
- GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?56%$0.75-$1.00$1.7K 24h
- Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?40%3.25-3.75%$1.7K 24h
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?56%$4.00-$4.50T$1.6K 24h
- Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?74%2.5% to 4%$1.6K 24h
- Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?24%December 31, 2029$1.6K 24h
- AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth?43%2.5% to 3.5%$1.6K 24h
- Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars)?41%8.5% to 9.5%$1.6K 24h
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?11%Perplexity AI$1.5K 24h
- Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 202669%S&P 500$1.5K 24h
- Amphenol (APH) Q3 organic sales growth?39%32% to 36%$1.5K 24h
- Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth?36%3.5%+$1.4K 24h
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?5%Yes$1.4K 24h
- Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth?35%7% to 9%$1.4K 24h
- What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?73%↑ 3.25T$1.3K 24h
- Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?38%Yes$1.3K 24h
- What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?78%↑ $216$1.2K 24h
- OpenAI IPO by...?35%June 30, 2027$1.2K 24h
- 3rd Largest Company end of October?80%Alphabet$1.2K 24h
- Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?25%Yes$1.2K 24h
- No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?96%No change$1.2K 24h
- Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?37%Yes$1.2K 24h
- Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?19%Yes$1.1K 24h
- Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?46%$2.50-$3.00T$1.1K 24h
- PPI YoY - October 202628%6.8%+$1.1K 24h
- Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?33%Yes$1.1K 24h
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?67%4.25%$1.1K 24h
- Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth?58%6% to 8%$1.1K 24h
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?37%$4.00-$4.50T$1.1K 24h
- China Annual Inflation 202650%0.6 – 1.0%$1.0K 24h
- What will be in the UK Budget?28%CGT increase$1.0K 24h
- What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?25%$458K - $471K$1.0K 24h