Economy Prediction Markets

Central-bank decisions, inflation prints, and macro outcomes ahead of the official releases. Live odds on 59 open markets, updated continuously.

• Fed Decision in July?95%No change$2.7M 24h
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?1%Yes$292.6K 24h
• Fed Decision in September?59%No change$207.5K 24h
• Largest Company end of July?53%NVIDIA$111.3K 24h
• Largest Company end of December 2026?55%NVIDIA$58.4K 24h
• How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?84%0 (0 bps)$55.8K 24h
• Fed rate hike in 2026?54%Yes$31.3K 24h
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?30%December 31$29.8K 24h
• Fed rate hike by...?45%October Meeting$24.6K 24h
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?52%Yes$22.0K 24h
• ECB Interest Rates: September 202682%25 bps increase$14.6K 24h
• ECB Interest Rates: July 202699%No change$13.9K 24h
• 2nd Largest Company end of July?52%Apple$12.6K 24h
• Bank of Russia decision in July?73%No Change$11.7K 24h
• Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)47%Pause–Pause–Pause$11.5K 24h
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?14%December 31$11.1K 24h
• Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)95%Pause–Pause–Pause$9.3K 24h
• USD x Iranian rials End of July?77%1.9M+$7.6K 24h
• How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?38%0$6.6K 24h
• US recession by end of 2026?11%Yes$6.1K 24h
• 2nd Largest Company end of August?48%NVIDIA$5.7K 24h
• STRC hits $100 by…34%December 31$5.5K 24h
• How high will inflation get in 2026?24%Above 4.5%$5.4K 24h
• Bank of Japan Decision in July?99%No change$5.4K 24h
• Bank of Russia decision in September?44%No Change$5.1K 24h
• JPMorgan (JPM) closes at $1T+ market cap by…?47%December 31$4.6K 24h
• Fed Decision in October?67%No change$4.3K 24h
• 3rd Largest Company end of July?90%Alphabet$4.1K 24h
• Core CPI MoM - July 202648%0.2%$4.0K 24h
• Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?48%$0.70-$0.80T$3.6K 24h
• IPOs before 2027?85%SHEIN$3.5K 24h
• What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?56%↓ $730$3.5K 24h
• Bank of Brazil decision in August?83%25 bps decrease$3.1K 24h
• What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?31%3.75%$3.0K 24h
• Argentina Annual Inflation 202638%30.0-34.9%$2.9K 24h
• What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on September 30?28%$335K - $340K$2.7K 24h
• China Annual Inflation 202645%0.6 – 1.0%$2.6K 24h
• People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?86%No Change$2.6K 24h
• Core CPI YoY - July 202627%2.7%$2.5K 24h
• OpenAI IPO by...?20%December 31, 2026$2.4K 24h
• US Trade Deficit in 2026?49%800–900B$2.2K 24h
• Bank of Korea decision in August?72%No Change$2.1K 24h
• Japan Core CPI YoY in 202643%2.0-2.4%$2.1K 24h
• July Inflation US - Monthly61%≥0.1%$2.0K 24h
• Largest Company end of August?53%NVIDIA$1.9K 24h
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?8%Yes$1.9K 24h
• Nothing Ever Happens: July95%Nothing$1.7K 24h
• NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?12%Yes$1.6K 24h
• US economic state at the end of 2026?44%Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)$1.5K 24h
• Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)63%Pause–Pause–Pause$1.4K 24h
• 2026 World GDP Growth28%3.0%$1.4K 24h
• What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?67%↑ $7,800$1.4K 24h
• Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 202640%2.0-2.4%$1.3K 24h
• Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?83%Anthropic$1.3K 24h
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?86%SpaceX$1.2K 24h
• Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?13%December 31$1.1K 24h
• Bank of England decision in July?98%No change$1.1K 24h
• July Inflation US - Annual31%3.4%$1.1K 24h
• Who will be arrested before 2027?42%John Brennan$1.0K 24h