Weather Prediction Markets

Daily temperature and weather outcomes in major cities, resolving every day. Live odds on 136 open markets, updated continuously.

• Iran full airspace closure by...?51%August 31$201.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seoul on July 20?87%26°C$179.3K 24h
• Israel closes its airspace by...?37%August 15$149.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 20?99%35°C$112.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 20?88%29°C$109.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Beijing on July 20?81%30°C$94.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 20?35%29°C$86.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 20?100%33°C$61.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Taipei on July 20?98%35°C$44.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wellington on July 20?100%12°C$41.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?98%35°C$39.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in London on July 20?39%24°C$35.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 20?60%38°C$34.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 20?97%29°C$34.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?34%33°C$34.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Singapore on July 20?96%32°C$34.1K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 20?99%25°C$33.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 20?50%38°C$33.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 20?75%29°C$33.0K 24h
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?3%Yes$31.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Paris on July 20?54%24°C$28.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Madrid on July 20?65%36°C$27.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 21?30%33°C$24.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Busan on July 20?78%31°C$24.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 20?34%70-71°F$23.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 20?45%78-79°F$22.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Munich on July 20?48%23°C$22.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chicago on July 20?38%84-85°F$22.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wellington on July 21?49%12°C$20.8K 24h
• Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?57%2$20.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 20?55%33°C$20.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seoul on July 21?36%27°C$18.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 21?39%32°C$18.4K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?35%27°C$18.4K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Paris on July 20?99%12°C$18.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Madrid on July 21?46%38°C$17.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 20?61%34°C$17.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in London on July 21?36%25°C$16.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 20?40%14°C$16.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Manila on July 20?96%33°C$15.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 20?56%20°C$15.1K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 20?90%27°C$15.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Denver on July 20?44%100-101°F$15.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 20?53%27°C$14.8K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 21?45%23°C$14.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?39%31°C$14.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Ankara on July 20?75%34°C$14.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Paris on July 21?42%26°C$14.1K 24h
• NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by...?99%July 20$14.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Austin on July 20?50%96-97°F$13.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in NYC on July 20?51%80-81°F$13.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Moscow on July 20?40%27°C$13.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 20?39%17°C$13.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Milan on July 20?51%30°C$13.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Karachi on July 20?47%33°C$13.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Dallas on July 20?53%100-101°F$12.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 20?46%26°C$12.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Munich on July 21?41%23°C$12.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 21?54%29°C$11.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seattle on July 20?34%82-83°F$11.7K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 20?89%23°C$11.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Milan on July 21?37%29°C$11.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 20?57%27°C$11.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Miami on July 20?57%92-93°F$10.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Busan on July 21?43%32°C$10.2K 24h
• Lowest temperature in London on July 20?98%13°C$10.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Houston on July 20?42%96-97°F$9.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 20?50%21°C$9.9K 24h
• Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by...?66%July 21$9.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 21?42%15°C$9.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 21?39%39°C$9.0K 24h
• Lowest temperature in NYC on July 20?40%64-65°F$8.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 20?40%21°C$8.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 21?37%40°C$8.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 20?47%28°C$8.4K 24h
• Lowest temperature in London on July 21?70%15°C$8.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Ankara on July 21?44%33°C$8.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Beijing on July 21?28%30°C$8.2K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Miami on July 20?48%82-83°F$8.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 21?27%42°C$8.0K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 21?39%27°C$7.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Panama City on July 21?41%31°C$7.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Singapore on July 21?40%32°C$7.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Denver on July 21?38%92-93°F$7.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Panama City on July 20?42%29°C$6.8K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 20?96%27°C$6.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 21?43%21°C$6.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Toronto on July 20?46%26°C$6.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 21?29%31°C$6.4K 24h
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?6%Yes$6.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 21?62%81°F or below$6.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?42%35°C$6.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 21?37%31°C$6.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 21?33%31°C$6.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 21?39%13°C$5.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 21?43%18°C$5.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Dallas on July 21?42%104-105°F$5.4K 24h
• Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 28, 2026?99%86–89$5.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Karachi on July 21?45%33°C$5.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 20?76%40°C or higher$5.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 21?64%33°C$5.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 20?45%92-93°F$5.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 21?34%31°C$5.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Taipei on July 21?43%36°C$5.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 22?37%34°C$4.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Taipei on July 22?33%35°C$4.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Toronto on July 21?31%26°C$4.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Moscow on July 21?33%24°C$4.8K 24h
• Precipitation in NYC in July?31%4-5"$4.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seattle on July 21?35%90-91°F$3.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Manila on July 21?44%33°C$3.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 21?47%17°C$3.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wellington on July 22?53%14°C$3.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 21?45%90-91°F$3.5K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?44%28°C$3.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Austin on July 21?40%98-99°F$3.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Houston on July 21?40%98-99°F$3.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 21?41%80-81°F$2.8K 24h
• July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)80%1.20–1.24ºC$2.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 22?33%33°C$2.3K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Miami on July 21?44%82-83°F$2.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 21?43%27°C$2.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seoul on July 22?35%29°C$2.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 21?47%28°C$2.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chicago on July 21?42%84-85°F$2.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Miami on July 21?50%92-93°F$2.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 22?30%32°C$1.9K 24h
• Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?9%Yes$1.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in NYC on July 21?35%80-81°F$1.8K 24h
• Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?4%Yes$1.8K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Paris on July 21?39%13°C$1.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 22?53%34°C$1.6K 24h
• Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?34%525-550mm$1.5K 24h
• Philadelphia Air Quality Index below 100 by...?98%July 20$1.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Ankara on July 22?50%32°C$1.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Karachi on July 22?45%34°C$1.0K 24h