Weather Prediction Markets

Daily temperature and weather outcomes in major cities, resolving every day. Live odds on 110 open markets, updated continuously.

• Israel closes its airspace by...?9%Yes$124.3K 24h
• Iran full airspace closure by...?28%December 31$47.8K 24h
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?3%Yes$22.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5?51%37°C$21.5K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?66%26°C$20.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Paris on September 5?51%25°C$19.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Singapore on September 6?69%33°C$18.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?53%22°C$18.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Munich on September 5?63%24°C$18.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?45%29°C$17.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 5?50%19°C$16.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?47%31°C$16.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Munich on September 6?50%24°C$16.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Milan on September 5?62%33°C$15.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?47%31°C$14.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Paris on September 6?32%29°C$14.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Miami on September 5?68%90-91°F$13.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 5?42%98-99°F$13.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?40%33°C$13.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?36%26°C$12.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in NYC on September 5?56%80-81°F$12.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Singapore on September 5?73%33°C$12.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in London on September 5?51%23°C$12.1K 24h
• Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?5%Yes$11.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?43%31°C$11.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Denver on September 5?45%92-93°F$11.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?60%15°C$11.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Jinan on September 5?91%26°C or higher$11.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?43%34°C$11.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 5?49%80-81°F$10.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Houston on September 5?44%92-93°F$10.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Ankara on September 5?57%29°C$10.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?49%36°C$9.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chicago on September 5?37%82-83°F$9.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Beijing on September 5?48%33°C$9.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Dallas on September 5?47%98-99°F$8.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Moscow on September 5?35%18°C$8.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?66%29°C$7.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5?80%32°C$7.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?53%31°C$6.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?28%22°C$6.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 5?65%34°C$6.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?47%31°C$6.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?37%70-71°F$6.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?46%32°C$6.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 5?52%18°C$5.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?40%24°C$5.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Taipei on September 5?27%31°C$5.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Busan on September 5?47%29°C$5.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wellington on September 6?59%15°C$5.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Seattle on September 5?37%68-69°F$5.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Toronto on September 5?46%24°C$4.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Karachi on September 5?45%31°C$4.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?66%27°C$4.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 5?45%37°C$4.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 6?60%34°C$3.9K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?62%26°C$3.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Miami on September 6?49%90-91°F$3.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?55%21°C$3.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?44%32°C$3.7K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?53%30°C$3.6K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?69%12°C$3.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Austin on September 5?44%96-97°F$3.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in London on September 6?40%26°C$3.4K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?42%21°C$3.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Panama City on September 5?41%33°C$3.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Manila on September 5?38%29°C$3.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?48%13°C$2.9K 24h
• How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?21%10$2.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?44%31°C$2.9K 24h
• Lowest temperature in London on September 5?51%14°C$2.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Busan on September 6?36%29°C$2.7K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?43%21°C$2.6K 24h
• Lowest temperature in NYC on September 5?50%68-69°F$2.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Madrid on September 6?45%37°C$2.5K 24h
• Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?98%↑3.5k$2.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?52%26°C$2.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?29%27°C$2.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?51%32°C or higher$2.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Dallas on September 6?45%98-99°F$2.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?28%35°C$2.2K 24h
• Highest temperature in Manila on September 6?37%30°C$2.1K 24h
• Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 8, 202697%Colorado$2.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?41%37°C$2.0K 24h
• Natural Disaster in 2026?18%Yes$2.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?40%33°C$1.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 6?31%32°C$1.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Taipei on September 6?27%29°C$1.7K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Paris on September 5?40%14°C or below$1.7K 24h
• How low will Lake Powell drop?62%Above 3,510 ft$1.6K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5?35%21°C or below$1.6K 24h
• Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?49%37°C$1.6K 24h
• Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?26%New England (ISO-NE)$1.6K 24h
• Will it rain during the Italian Grand Prix?9%Yes$1.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?34%24°C$1.5K 24h
• Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?7%Yes$1.5K 24h
• Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?33%30°C$1.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?42%19°C$1.3K 24h
• Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?37%30°C$1.3K 24h
• Where will it rain on September 4?72%Philadelphia, PA$1.3K 24h
• NCAA Football: Rutgers 2026 Win Total74%2.5+ Wins$1.2K 24h
• NCAA Football: Georgia Tech 2026 Win Total75%4.5+ Wins$1.1K 24h
• Lowest temperature in Miami on September 5?34%78-79°F$1.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Karachi on September 6?42%31°C$1.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Moscow on September 6?32%16°C$1.1K 24h
• How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?69%Greater than 8$1.1K 24h
• Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?31%31°C$1.1K 24h
• How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?73%0$1.1K 24h
• Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?59%4.4-4.6m sq km$1.1K 24h
• Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?98%3200+$1.0K 24h