Tech Prediction Markets
AI milestones, product launches, and the corporate races shaping technology. Live odds on 99 open markets, updated continuously.
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?96%October 22$899.8K 24h
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?97%October 21$338.7K 24h
- # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?55%40-60M$249.5K 24h
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?74%Google$156.9K 24h
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?86%October 19$155.5K 24h
- Largest Company end of October 2026?79%NVIDIA$75.7K 24h
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?79%Yes$61.4K 24h
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5%December 31$56.7K 24h
- Will Russia target Kyiv on...?88%October 21$36.4K 24h
- Papertrade FDV above … one day after launch?95%$25M$35.3K 24h
- Predict.fun FDV above … one day after launch?97%$50M$25.7K 24h
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?66%December 31, 2027$23.2K 24h
- Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?97%December 31$22.1K 24h
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?65%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate$20.3K 24h
- Largest Company end of December 2026?68%NVIDIA$19.7K 24h
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by … ?98%December 31, 2027$19.4K 24h
- AI bubble burst by...?16%June 30, 2027$17.9K 24h
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap45%1.5T+$17.8K 24h
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?100%December 31$17.2K 24h
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?79%October 18$17.0K 24h
- Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?36%October 20$14.7K 24h
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?48%Anthropic$14.5K 24h
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?99%October 18$13.9K 24h
- GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?92%December 31$13.2K 24h
- 2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?74%Apple$11.8K 24h
- Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)11%Yes$11.0K 24h
- Next James Bond actor?45%No Bond chosen$10.1K 24h
- Best Chinese AI Company end of October?60%Xiaomi$9.2K 24h
- Russia military action against EU country by...?20%December 31, 2027$8.9K 24h
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?77%0$7.9K 24h
- Which company has the best AI model end of November?48%Anthropic$7.7K 24h
- Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?29%December 31, 2028$7.7K 24h
- Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?27%December 31, 2028$7.6K 24h
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 19?47%14°C$7.5K 24h
- How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?77%12-15$7.5K 24h
- Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?50%$900B-$1.00T$7.3K 24h
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?23%<$1T$6.9K 24h
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?25%Yes$5.8K 24h
- Longest GitHub critical incident in October?60%3-6 hours$5.7K 24h
- Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?14%December 31$5.6K 24h
- STRC hits $100 by…75%December 31$5.2K 24h
- Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?92%1500+$4.5K 24h
- Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?93%1400+$4.4K 24h
- StandX FDV above … one day after launch?1%$400M$4.4K 24h
- Will Iran target an Arab country by...?87%October 31$4.3K 24h
- #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)58%Meta$4.2K 24h
- Will StandX launch a token by … ?1%June 30, 2027$4.0K 24h
- Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?19%Saudi Arabia$3.7K 24h
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit … by December 31?65%↑$1.25T$3.3K 24h
- #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?80%Muse from Meta$3.2K 24h
- Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?50%November 30$3.0K 24h
- Nothing Ever Happens: 202683%Yes$3.0K 24h
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?12%Yes$3.0K 24h
- Nothing Ever Happens: October96%Nothing$2.9K 24h
- Best AI model on October 19?99%gemini-4-argon-high$2.9K 24h
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 20?55%12°C$2.9K 24h
- TIME Person of the Year 202628%Zohran Mamdani$2.9K 24h
- Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?94%Denver, CO$2.6K 24h
- #1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?99%DeepSeek$2.6K 24h
- CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?28%December 31, 2029$2.5K 24h
- Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?10%Yes$2.3K 24h
- Will Papertrade launch a token by … ?84%September 30, 2027$2.2K 24h
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas62%Lula$2.2K 24h
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?54%45%+$2.1K 24h
- Will Axis Robotics launch a token by … ?98%March 31, 2027$2.1K 24h
- Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?56%November 30$2.1K 24h
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?25%45%+$2.0K 24h
- Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?7%Yes$2.0K 24h
- Abstract FDV above … one day after launch?4%$400M$1.9K 24h
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?85%Anthropic$1.8K 24h
- Will Russia capture Svitle by...?11%Yes$1.8K 24h
- What will the announcers say during the Cowboys vs Packers game?98%Fumble / Fumbles$1.8K 24h
- Will Iran target Iraq by...?88%October 31$1.8K 24h
- Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?16%December 31$1.8K 24h
- GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?56%$0.75-$1.00$1.7K 24h
- Ink FDV above … one day after launch?26%$100M$1.6K 24h
- Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?24%December 31, 2029$1.6K 24h
- Will Claude go down on … days in October?46%<5$1.6K 24h
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?11%Perplexity AI$1.5K 24h
- Puffpaw FDV above … one day after launch?22%$100M$1.5K 24h
- Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?38%Yes$1.5K 24h
- Ostium FDV above … one day after launch?3%$50M$1.5K 24h
- Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory38%Aziz 15%+$1.5K 24h
- #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?98%Google$1.5K 24h
- Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?53%Anthropic$1.4K 24h
- Will Variational launch a token by … ?84%December 31, 2026$1.4K 24h
- Will Base launch a token by … ?42%December 31, 2027$1.4K 24h
- #1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?34%Lindsay Clancy$1.4K 24h
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?1%Yes$1.2K 24h
- OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?66%625-675T$1.2K 24h
- OpenAI IPO by...?35%June 30, 2027$1.2K 24h
- NATO downs another Russian drone by...?66%Yes$1.2K 24h
- 3rd Largest Company end of October?80%Alphabet$1.2K 24h
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?60%June 30, 2027$1.1K 24h
- Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?46%$2.50-$3.00T$1.1K 24h
- #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)59%Anthropic$1.1K 24h
- Will Iran target Jordan by...?26%Yes$1.1K 24h
- Jumper FDV one day after launch?96%$60M$1.0K 24h
- Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?85%OpenAI$1.0K 24h