Tech Prediction Markets

AI milestones, product launches, and the corporate races shaping technology. Live odds on 72 open markets, updated continuously.

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)51%August 31$312.1K 24h
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?6%December 31$197.9K 24h
• Iran military action against a gulf state on...?73%July 19$163.3K 24h
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?98%July 18$134.6K 24h
• Largest Company end of July?52%NVIDIA$111.3K 24h
• Which company has best AI model end of July?98%Anthropic$90.7K 24h
• What will the announcers say during France vs England World Cup Match?96%Captain$71.7K 24h
• What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Spain World Cup Match?95%History$65.3K 24h
• Best Chinese AI Company end of July?51%Moonshot$58.9K 24h
• Largest Company end of December 2026?55%NVIDIA$56.9K 24h
• Which company has best AI model end of August?90%Anthropic$53.3K 24h
• Next Claude Opus released by...?98%December 31$43.8K 24h
• SpaceX Starship Flight Test 1399%August 31$39.5K 24h
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?66%Anthropic$18.3K 24h
• Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?5%July 31$18.2K 24h
• What will be said during the ninth episode of Rick and Morty: Season 9?97%Bone$12.8K 24h
• 2nd Largest Company end of July?52%Apple$12.6K 24h
• Israel military action against Yemen by...?12%July 31$9.8K 24h
• Gemini 4.0 released by...?2%Yes$9.2K 24h
• Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?74%Anthropic$8.9K 24h
• Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?86%No release by July 31$7.4K 24h
• How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?44%4$7.3K 24h
• Best AI model on August 1?74%claude-opus-4-6-thinking$6.7K 24h
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?49%December 31$6.1K 24h
• Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?74%Paramount$6.0K 24h
• Houthi military action against Israel by...?10%July 31$4.9K 24h
• US military action against Cuba by...?31%Yes$4.9K 24h
• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?28%July 31$4.9K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 19?46%19°C$4.5K 24h
• GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?30%$2.00-$2.50$4.1K 24h
• 3rd Largest Company end of July?90%Alphabet$4.0K 24h
• Nothing Ever Happens: 202668%Yes$4.0K 24h
• GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?31%$6.00-$7.00$4.0K 24h
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?78%September 30$4.0K 24h
• What will Trump say this week? (July 13 - July 19)22%Belgium$3.6K 24h
• Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31?48%$0.70-$0.80T$3.6K 24h
• # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?47%3$3.4K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 20?40%20°C$3.3K 24h
• What will Dow say during their next earnings call?96%Infrastructure$2.9K 24h
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?8%Yes$2.7K 24h
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of July?96%Moonshot$2.6K 24h
• Next Claude Opus released on...?32%July 29$2.4K 24h
• OpenAI IPO by...?20%December 31, 2026$2.4K 24h
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?10%Yes$2.3K 24h
• Israel military action against Beirut by...?57%August 31$2.3K 24h
• What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in July 2026?46%↑ $420$2.2K 24h
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?10%Yes$2.2K 24h
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?12%Yes$2.0K 24h
• Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?42%38%-40%$2.0K 24h
• Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...?76%December 31$2.0K 24h
• Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth?45%9%-12%$1.9K 24h
• AI data center in space by...?26%December 31, 2027$1.9K 24h
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?86%Yes$1.9K 24h
• Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)79%Anthropic$1.7K 24h
• Nothing Ever Happens: July95%Nothing$1.7K 24h
• Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?30%July 31$1.7K 24h
• Which companies will be acquired before 2027?66%PayPal$1.6K 24h
• What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?94%Queen 20+ times$1.6K 24h
• Human moon landing in 2026?3%Yes$1.5K 24h
• Largest Company end of August?53%NVIDIA$1.4K 24h
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?7%Yes$1.4K 24h
• Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?20%December 31$1.3K 24h
• Best AI model on July 18?99%claude-opus-4-6-thinking$1.3K 24h
• Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?83%Anthropic$1.3K 24h
• What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents Dinner?74%Fake News$1.3K 24h
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?25%December 31$1.2K 24h
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?18%December 31$1.2K 24h
• What will Procter & Gamble say during their next earnings call?97%Category$1.1K 24h
• 2nd Largest Company end of August?48%NVIDIA$1.1K 24h
• What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (July 13 - July 19)52%Russia / Russian$1.0K 24h
• Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?4%Yes$1.0K 24h
• Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?35%1$1.0K 24h