Tech Prediction Markets

AI milestones, product launches, and the corporate races shaping technology. Live odds on 158 open markets, updated continuously.

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?78%September 30$381.2K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model end of September?91%Anthropic$208.8K 24h
• Largest Company end of September?92%NVIDIA$122.0K 24h
• OpenAI’s Astra released by…?97%October 31$87.0K 24h
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?4%December 31$63.0K 24h
• Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?98%October 31$59.8K 24h
• Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?90%Anthropic$48.6K 24h
• Will Iran target an Arab country by...?100%September 30$47.4K 24h
• GPT-6 released by…?77%December 31, 2026$46.8K 24h
• Will Iran target Jordan by...?99%September 30$33.8K 24h
• Gemini 4.0 released by...?92%November 30$31.1K 24h
• Best Chinese AI Company end of September?80%Alibaba$27.7K 24h
• OpenAI's Astra released on...?40%September 3$21.3K 24h
• Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?78%September 2$19.9K 24h
• Best AI model on September 7?50%claude-opus-5-max$17.7K 24h
• Largest Company end of December 2026?76%NVIDIA$17.0K 24h
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?72%Anthropic$16.4K 24h
• Will a Chinese company have a top … AI model by December 31?22%#3$16.1K 24h
• Variational FDV above … one day after launch?96%$100M$15.6K 24h
• Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?88%OpenAI$15.5K 24h
• Israel military action against Beirut by...?28%Yes$13.9K 24h
• Will Iran target Iraq by...?96%September 15$13.7K 24h
• Next Claude Opus released by...?99%December 31$12.6K 24h
• Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?18%Alibaba$12.3K 24h
• Next James Bond actor?23%Jack Lowden$12.0K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?66%21°C$11.9K 24h
• Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?94%September 30$11.7K 24h
• Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?82%1480+$10.5K 24h
• Will Base launch a token by … ?57%December 31, 2027$9.8K 24h
• What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in September 2026?67%↓ $560$9.6K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model end of October?87%Anthropic$9.4K 24h
• Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?96%1470+$9.0K 24h
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?95%Yes$8.9K 24h
• Will Iran target Syria by...?14%September 30$8.7K 24h
• U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?67%October 31$8.7K 24h
• Nothing Ever Happens: 202683%Yes$8.3K 24h
• Will Iran target Kuwait by...?98%September 30$7.7K 24h
• 2nd Largest Company end of September?85%Apple$7.7K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?53%OpenAI$7.6K 24h
• What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in September 2026?79%↓ $345$7.2K 24h
• Will Russia capture Sumy by...?10%Yes$7.2K 24h
• #1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?49%Dolly Parton$7.0K 24h
• What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of August 31 2026?65%↓ $570$6.6K 24h
• Will Iran target Bahrain by...?94%September 30$6.6K 24h
• Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?69%October 31$6.5K 24h
• OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?99%40%+$6.1K 24h
• Extended FDV above … one day after launch?56%$150M$6.1K 24h
• Predict.fun FDV above … one day after launch?88%$50M$5.8K 24h
• What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of August 31 2026?80%↓ $352.50$5.8K 24h
• Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?48%23°C$5.8K 24h
• SpaceX Starship Flight Test 1494%October 31$5.6K 24h
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap60%1.5T+$5.6K 24h
• How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?51%16-19$5.5K 24h
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?39%December 31$5.4K 24h
• OpenAI IPO by...?50%March 31, 2027$5.4K 24h
• Will Iran target Qatar by...?61%September 30$5.2K 24h
• 3rd Largest Company end of September?81%Alphabet$4.9K 24h
• Will LI.FI launch a token by … ?35%December 31, 2027$4.8K 24h
• Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?37%September 30$4.8K 24h
• Which companies will be acquired before 2027?35%MGM Resorts$4.8K 24h
• Will Ink launch a token by … ?86%December 31, 2027$4.7K 24h
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit … by December 31?85%↑$1.0T$4.7K 24h
• Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?6%Yes$4.7K 24h
• GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of September?38%$0.60+$4.5K 24h
• What will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit Week of August 31 2026?56%↑ $960$4.4K 24h
• Opensea FDV above … one day after launch?21%$100M$4.3K 24h
• Will Russia capture Lyman by...?22%December 31$4.2K 24h
• Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?21%OpenAI$3.9K 24h
• Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?49%$900B-$1.00T$3.9K 24h
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?47%December 31, 2027$3.9K 24h
• What will Trump say in September?91%American Dream$3.9K 24h
• Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?95%Anthropic$3.8K 24h
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?56%Anthropic$3.7K 24h
• Will GTA 6 cost $100+?2%Yes$3.7K 24h
• Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)92%Anthropic$3.7K 24h
• Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?41%Z.ai$3.7K 24h
• Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?90%Denver, CO$3.6K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?68%OpenAI$3.6K 24h
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit … by September 30?52%↑$925B$3.6K 24h
• Ink FDV above … one day after launch?46%$100M$3.5K 24h
• StandX FDV above … one day after launch?61%$50M$3.5K 24h
• What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of August 31 2026?84%↓ $324$3.4K 24h
• Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?71%45%+$3.3K 24h
• Which week will OpenAI release Astra?49%August 31–September 6$3.2K 24h
• Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?89%55%+$3.1K 24h
• Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?89%45%+$3.1K 24h
• #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?75%ChatGPT$3.0K 24h
• What will Apple (AAPL) hit in September 2026?92%↑ $328$2.8K 24h
• Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?94%45%+$2.6K 24h
• Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?48%Moonshot$2.6K 24h
• GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?43%$1.00-$1.25$2.6K 24h
• What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in September 2026?78%↑ $256$2.6K 24h
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?14%Yes$2.5K 24h
• SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?4%Yes$2.5K 24h
• Second-best AI Lab end of September?79%Google$2.4K 24h
• What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of August 31 2026?83%↑ $502.50$2.4K 24h
• Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?43%1$2.4K 24h
• What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of August 31 2026?84%↑ $256$2.4K 24h
• GPU rental prices (B200) end of September?30%$6.50-$7.00$2.3K 24h
• What will be said during Episode 30 of Big Brother?85%Final$2.2K 24h
• Will any AI model reach … Overall Arena Score by December 31?53%↑ 1520$2.2K 24h
• Hurupay FDV above … one day after launch?10%$5M$2.1K 24h
• Israel military action against Syria by...?21%September 30$2.1K 24h
• Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?83%Anthropic$2.1K 24h
• Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 2?55%Down$2.1K 24h
• What will be said during Episode 29 of Big Brother?69%Blind$2.1K 24h
• Will Iran target Oman by...?24%September 30$2.1K 24h
• SSI public model released by…?49%October 31$2.0K 24h
• Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?69%60%+$1.9K 24h
• Will Extended launch a token by … ?67%December 31, 2026$1.9K 24h
• Will any AI model reach … Coding Arena Score by December 31?38%1560$1.9K 24h
• Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?50%Google$1.9K 24h
• What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in September 2026?83%↓ $495$1.8K 24h
• Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?88%June 30, 2027?$1.8K 24h
• #1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?41%Inde Navarrette$1.8K 24h
• Will Iran target Ukraine by...?2%Yes$1.7K 24h
• Multipli.fi FDV above … one day after launch?98%$20M$1.7K 24h
• Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?33%Yes$1.7K 24h
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?33%No release by November 1$1.7K 24h
• Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?30%Yes$1.7K 24h
• Second-best AI Lab end of October?66%Google$1.6K 24h
• Will Linera launch a token by … ?85%December 31, 2027$1.6K 24h
• #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)37%Google$1.6K 24h
• How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?77%4$1.6K 24h
• Arc FDV above … one day after launch?78%$800M$1.6K 24h
• #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?14%Erling Haaland$1.6K 24h
• Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?76%Anthropic$1.6K 24h
• Will Ritual launch a token by … ?87%June 30, 2027$1.5K 24h
• Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?92%OpenAI$1.5K 24h
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap89%No IPO by December 31, 2026$1.5K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?56%Anthropic$1.4K 24h
• Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?53%Moonshot$1.4K 24h
• Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?38%Yes$1.4K 24h
• Base FDV above … one day after launch?56%$500M$1.4K 24h
• Will Abstract launch a token by … ?62%December 31, 2027$1.4K 24h
• Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?67%Google$1.4K 24h
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?28%December 31$1.4K 24h
• Will Iran target Egypt by...?3%September 30$1.4K 24h
• Will Arc launch a token by … ?79%December 31, 2027$1.4K 24h
• Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?76%No release by September 30$1.3K 24h
• Meta (META) closes above … on September 2?98%$540$1.3K 24h
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)57%September 30$1.3K 24h
• Google (GOOGL) closes above … on September 2?98%$325$1.3K 24h
• Will Russia target Kyiv by...?98%September 11$1.3K 24h
• How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?53%<5$1.3K 24h
• How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?54%80%$1.2K 24h
• Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?89%Anthropic$1.2K 24h
• US military action against Cuba by...?14%Yes$1.2K 24h
• Will Russia target Kyiv on...?80%September 2$1.1K 24h
• Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?69%Anthropic$1.1K 24h
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?33%Yes$1.1K 24h
• Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut as #1? (Text Arena)6%Yes$1.1K 24h
• What will Docusign say during their next earnings call?94%AI 10+ times$1.1K 24h
• Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of August 31 above … ?89%$330$1.0K 24h
• Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?79%Moonshot$1.0K 24h
• GTA 6 launch postponed again?7%Yes$1.0K 24h
• Will Hibachi launch a token by … ?85%December 31, 2027$1.0K 24h
• US strike on Mexico by...?11%Yes$1.0K 24h