Chennai Grand Masters Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which chess player will win the Chennai Grand Masters 2026 tournament. A Yes on any listed player means that person finishes the tournament as the declared champion. The three players shown, Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and Nodirbek Abdusattorov, are the main contenders the market is pricing, with Erigaisi currently given the highest chance at 46%, Firouzja at 38%, and Abdusattorov at 13%. The market settles based on whoever the official tournament organizer, MGD1, declares as the winner by July 22, 2026. If the tournament is cancelled or postponed past August 5, 2026, the market resolves to a catch-all 'Other' outcome, meaning none of the named players pays out. There is also one unusual rule: if two players tie and are both declared winners, the market pays out on whichever player's name comes first alphabetically. None of the provided recent news headlines relate to the Chennai Grand Masters or chess at all. Since the tournament is scheduled to run July 16 to July 22, 2026, the most relevant things to watch for would be live round results, standings updates from the official tournament site, or any announcement about the event's status from the organizer MGD1. Chess tournaments at the elite level are genuinely competitive and hard to call in advance. The gap between the top two, Erigaisi and Firouzja, is only about 8 percentage points, suggesting the market sees this as a close contest rather than a clear favourite. Form can shift round by round, draws are common at this level, and tiebreak rules can decide the final result in unexpected ways. Because the tournament may still be in progress, live results are the key variable right now.

The odds right now

• Alireza Firouzja42%
• Arjun Erigaisi42%
• Nodirbek Abdusattorov17%
• Nihal Sarin0%
• Dmitry Andreikin0%
• Gukesh Dommaraju0%
• Hans Niemann0%
• Pranesh Munirethinam0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters 2026, currently scheduled for July 16, 2026 to July 22, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.