Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
What you need to know
This market is asking: how large will Elon Musk's personal fortune be on June 30, 2026, according to Bloomberg's tracking tool? The brackets are simple buckets — the market is essentially asking whether his wealth lands above $800 billion, between $780–800 billion, or below $660 billion on that specific date. Right now, the overwhelming bet is on the highest bracket: above $800 billion. On June 30, 2026, whoever runs this market will look up Musk's net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index — a public tracker updated daily — and record the number shown for that exact date. Whichever bracket that number falls into wins. One edge case worth knowing: if the number lands exactly on a bracket boundary, the rules say it resolves to the higher bracket. If Bloomberg's data is unavailable that day, another credible source steps in. This is highly relevant: on June 13, 2026, multiple outlets reported that Musk crossed $1 trillion in net worth following a major SpaceX fundraising event or market debut. If accurate, that figure is dramatically above the $800 billion threshold, which would explain why the market is currently pricing the highest bracket at 99%. With Bloomberg reporting Musk's net worth above $1 trillion just weeks before the June 30 deadline, the market is extremely lopsided — 99% on the highest bracket. The real uncertainty here is not which side wins, but whether something dramatic and unexpected could happen before June 30: a major crash in Tesla or SpaceX valuations, a market-wide selloff, or a data discrepancy between sources. That kind of sudden reversal is rare, but not impossible.
The odds right now
- 800b++7.8 pts (1w)99%
- 780-800b-3.1 pts (1w)1%
- 720-740b-0.7 pts (1w)0%
- <660b-1.4 pts (1w)0%
- 660-680b-0.1 pts (1w)0%
- 700-720b-1.9 pts (1w)0%
- 760-780b-0.9 pts (1w)0%
- 740-760b-1.0 pts (1w)0%
- 680-700b-0.7 pts (1w)0%
Price history
800b+
How this resolves
Resolves June 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Related
Other outcomes in this market
- 800b+99%
- 780-800b1%
- 720-740b0%
- <660b0%
- 660-680b0%
- 700-720b0%
- 760-780b0%
- 740-760b0%
- See all 9 outcomes →
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