Highest temperature in Busan on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 20, 2026, what will the single hottest temperature of the day be in Busan, South Korea, specifically at the weather station located at Gimhae International Airport? The three options represent degree-by-degree buckets: a high of 31°C (about 88°F), 32°C (about 90°F), or 33°C (about 91°F). The market currently leans toward 32°C, which sits right in the middle of those choices. The market settles based on whatever peak temperature Weather Underground records for the Gimhae Airport station on July 20, 2026, measured in whole degrees Celsius, no decimals. Whichever bucket (31°C, 32°C, 33°C, or another) contains that number wins. It cannot officially close until at least one reading from July 21 appears on the site, confirming the day is complete. Any corrections to the July 20 data published before that first July 21 reading count; corrections after that point do not. The only recent news provided covers flooding in the Rajouri and Poonch regions of India, this has no clear connection to weather conditions in Busan on July 20, 2026. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of update that would matter is a seasonal weather forecast for the Korean Peninsula in mid-to-late July, or any unusual heat or monsoon pattern developing in that region. July 20 is still over a year away, which makes precise temperature forecasting essentially impossible right now, weather prediction beyond about two weeks is unreliable even for professionals. On top of that, the margin between the three options is just one degree Celsius, which is a very thin gap. A slight shift in sea breeze, cloud cover, or regional monsoon activity could easily swing the result. The market's spread across three close options honestly reflects how genuinely open this question is.

The odds right now

• 31°C41%
• 32°C39%
• 30°C14%
• 33°C8%
• 29°C2%
• 34°C2%
• 35°C0%
• 28°C0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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