Highest temperature in Busan on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Busan, South Korea get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of the day, measured in whole degrees Celsius, at the weather station located at Gimhae International Airport. The three options, 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, each represent a possible peak temperature. To give a sense of scale, 32°C is roughly 90°F, a hot and humid summer day. The market settles based on the highest temperature recorded at Gimhae International Airport on July 21, 2026, as logged on Weather Underground's history page for that station. The reading must be in whole degrees Celsius, so a reading of 32.7°C, for example, would count as 32°C. The result is locked in once the first data point from July 22 appears on that page. Any corrections posted before that cutoff count, but corrections made after do not. There is no recent news provided for this market. That is not unusual this far in advance. Weather forecasts become meaningfully accurate only about 7 to 10 days before the date in question, so the most relevant information to watch for would be seasonal forecasts for Busan in late July 2026, or any updates as the date approaches. A full year out, no weather model can reliably forecast a specific day's peak temperature. Late July is reliably hot and humid in Busan, which is why the market clusters around 31 to 33°C, but the exact reading depends on factors like whether a heat wave, a typhoon, or unusual cloud cover passes through that week. The three options are fairly close together, and even small shifts in wind direction or humidity can tip the outcome from one range to another.

The odds right now

• 32°C47%
• 31°C39%
• 33°C12%
• 30°C5%
• 34°C1%
• 29°C1%
• 28°C0%
• 35°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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