Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 20, 2026, how hot will it get in Chongqing? Specifically, it wants to know the peak temperature for that single day, measured at the city's Jiangbei Airport weather station. The three main options are 37°C, 38°C, or 39°C, that's roughly 99°F, 100°F, and 102°F, and you're picking which one the thermometer actually hits at its highest point that day. The market settles based on the single highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport on July 20, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whichever degree (a whole number, no decimals) that peak reading falls on is the winner. The result is locked in once the first data point for July 21 appears on that site, after that, any corrections to the July 20 data won't count. There's no human judgment involved; it's purely what that one weather station reports. The only recent news provided is about flooding in the Rajouri and Poonch regions of India, which is unrelated to Chongqing's temperature forecast. There's no relevant news to point to here. The kind of update that would matter is a seasonal weather forecast or heat advisory specifically for Chongqing around mid-July 2026. Weather is genuinely hard to predict, even a day out, and this market closes over a year from now, which makes precise temperature forecasting nearly impossible. Chongqing is famous for brutal summer heat, so 37, 39°C is a realistic range for late July. But the exact peak on one specific day depends on factors like cloud cover, humidity, and passing weather systems that no one can know this far in advance. The market's spread across three close options reflects that honest uncertainty.

The odds right now

• 38°C39%
• 37°C32%
• 39°C16%
• 36°C9%
• 40°C5%
• 35°C2%
• 41°C1%
• 34°C or below1%
• 42°C0%
• 43°C0%
• 44°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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