Highest temperature in Panama City on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: how hot will Panama City get on July 20, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at one weather station, the one at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. The options are temperature ranges (like 28°C, 29°C, or 30°C), and you're picking which range that peak temperature will fall into. In practical terms, 30°C is about 86°F, so we're talking about a warm tropical day with differences of just a few degrees separating the choices. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at the airport weather station on July 20, 2026, as reported by Weather Underground. Whatever the single peak reading is that day, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, determines which option wins. One important detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 21 is published before it officially closes, giving time for any same-day corrections to be counted. After that cutoff, no further revisions matter. None of the provided news headlines relate to Panama City's weather or climate conditions. No relevant recent news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a short-range weather forecast for Panama City around July 20, something like a meteorological outlook or any unusual weather pattern affecting Central America at that time. Daily peak temperatures in a tropical city can shift a few degrees based on cloud cover, rain timing, and wind, all of which are hard to predict more than a day or two out. The three leading options (28°C, 29°C, 30°C) are separated by just single degrees, meaning a brief afternoon shower could easily push the outcome from one bucket to another. The market is currently split fairly evenly across those three, which honestly reflects how tight and genuinely uncertain this kind of narrow temperature call is more than a year in advance.

The odds right now

• 29°C38%
• 30°C31%
• 28°C21%
• 31°C11%
• 27°C3%
• 32°C3%
• 26°C1%
• 33°C1%
• 24°C or below0%
• 25°C0%
• 34°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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