Highest temperature in Singapore on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 20, 2026, what will be the single hottest temperature reading of the day at Singapore's Changi Airport? The three options are 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C, each representing a one-degree band. To picture this physically: 32°C is roughly 90°F, a hot and humid afternoon typical of Singapore. The question is simply which of those three bands the thermometer peaks at on that specific day. After July 20, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for Changi Airport's official daily high temperature, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius. Whichever option (31°C, 32°C, or 33°C) matches that number wins. One important edge case: if the actual high falls outside all three options, say, 30°C or 34°C, that outcome isn't listed, which could create an unusual situation. The market settles once the first data point for July 21 appears on the site. None of the provided news headlines relate to this market. The stories are about Singapore's politics and flooding in India, neither affects the weather question here. What would actually matter to watch closer to July 20, 2026 is the local Singapore weather forecast, any monsoon or El Niño conditions that month, and whether an unusually rainy or sunny pattern is setting up for that specific day. Singapore's daily high temperature in July is genuinely consistent, the city sits near the equator and July is deep in its warm, humid season, but single-day readings still vary by a degree or two depending on cloud cover, rainfall, and wind. The market currently puts 32°C at 50%, which reflects that it's the most common outcome, but 31°C at 34% shows real uncertainty in the neighbouring band. The honest difficulty is that one degree is a small margin, and a passing storm or clear skies can easily shift the peak reading across that line.

The odds right now

• 32°C54%
• 31°C23%
• 33°C14%
• 30°C5%
• 34°C2%
• 29°C1%
• 35°C or higher0%
• 25°C or below0%
• 26°C0%
• 27°C0%
• 28°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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