How many views will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get on Day 1?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how many times people will watch the official Avengers: Doomsday trailer on YouTube within the first 24 hours after Marvel posts it. To picture the scale: 35 million views in one day means roughly the entire population of Canada watching the video back to back in a single day. A Yes on one bracket simply means the view count lands inside that range when the clock runs out. The market settles by checking the view counter on Marvel's official YouTube channel exactly 24 hours after the trailer goes live on July 20, 2026. Whatever number YouTube shows at that moment determines which bracket wins. Only the specific video titled 'Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18' counts, not shorts, teasers, or other clips. If the count lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins. If YouTube is unavailable at the 24-hour mark, the most recent confirmed count is used instead. No specific recent news about this trailer or its release was provided. The kind of developments worth watching would be: any early buzz or social media reaction when the trailer drops, whether Marvel runs a big promotional push around the release, and how the film's overall hype compares to recent Marvel releases. The biggest challenge is that trailer view counts are genuinely hard to predict even for major films. The 35-40M bracket carries the heaviest market weight at 78%, but the 45-50M and 50-55M brackets each show meaningful probability too, which means participants clearly disagree on the ceiling. Key unknowns include how much promotional muscle Marvel puts behind the release, the general state of Marvel fan enthusiasm at the time, and whether any competing cultural moments pull attention away that day.

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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