MLB: 2026 American League Champion: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which American League team will win the AL Championship Series in 2026, which is the final playoff round before the World Series. A Yes on a specific team means that team wins the ALCS and earns the right to represent the AL in the World Series. A No simply means that team was eliminated at some point before or during that series. Only one team can win, so all others resolve No. The market settles based on whichever team wins the official 2026 American League Championship Series, as confirmed by MLB. If a listed team is knocked out at any point in the playoffs, that team's market resolves No immediately. If the series is cancelled or not completed by November 30, 2026, the market resolves as Other rather than Yes or No. The deadline is November 1, 2026, though the ALCS typically concludes well before then. None of the provided news headlines relate to MLB, the 2026 season, or any of the teams listed here. There is no relevant recent news to summarize. The kind of developments worth watching would be team performance as the 2026 regular season progresses, playoff qualification, injury news for key players, and trade deadline moves. This is genuinely hard to predict because the 2026 season is still unfolding and the playoffs introduce a lot of randomness. Even a strong regular-season team can lose a short playoff series due to pitching matchups, injuries, or simply a few bad games. The market spreads probability across many teams, with the Yankees leading at 27%, meaning the field collectively holds most of the implied probability. A lot can change between now and October.

The odds right now

• New York Yankees27%
• Seattle Mariners-1.5 pts (1w)15%
• Tampa Bay Rays-1.5 pts (1w)14%
• Boston Red Sox+6.2 pts (1w)10%
• Cleveland Guardians+2.4 pts (1w)8%
• Texas Rangers-1.0 pts (1w)8%
• Chicago White Sox+0.1 pts (1w)6%
• Detroit Tigers-0.2 pts (1w)4%
• Houston Astros-0.4 pts (1w)3%
• Minnesota Twins-0.1 pts (1w)2%
• Baltimore Orioles+0.1 pts (1w)2%
• Toronto Blue Jays-2.1 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.