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"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?: how this market works

95%cultureUpdated 5 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking how much money the film 'The Odyssey' will earn from ticket sales in domestic cinemas between its opening on July 17, 2026 and August 31, 2026. That is roughly six weeks of box office revenue. A Yes on the top bracket means the film pulls in over $350 million at home in that window, which would mark it as a major blockbuster hit. The lower brackets represent a slower or more modest performance. The market settles based on the final cumulative domestic gross reported on The Numbers website, covering every day from July 17 through August 31, 2026. The numbers must be confirmed, not studio estimates. If the total lands exactly on a bracket boundary, it rounds up to the higher bracket. If figures are still disputed after August 31, the market stays open until both The Numbers and Box Office Mojo confirm the same final number, or until September 30, 2026 at the latest. No specific recent news about this film was provided. The kind of developments worth watching for would be early tracking forecasts from box office analysts, casting or director announcements, marketing campaign launches, and any early audience screenings or reviews that tend to signal opening-weekend momentum. The market prices this at 95% for $350 million or more, so this is heavily one-sided. The real uncertainty is not whether two equal outcomes compete, but simply whether something unexpected gets in the way. Films can underperform even strong pre-release signals. The movie opens July 17, so there is still time for competition from other summer releases, poor reviews, or weak word-of-mouth to change the trajectory. The main question is whether the unexpected happens, not whether the outcome is genuinely a coin toss.

The odds right now

  • 350m+95%
  • 300 - 350m4%
  • 250 - 300m1%
  • 200 - 250m1%
  • <200m0%

Price history

350m+

95%+51.5%

How this resolves

Resolves August 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Other outcomes in this market

  • 350m+95%
  • 300 - 350m4%
  • 250 - 300m1%
  • 200 - 250m1%
  • <200m0%

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

On a trade of
Paridesk0.5%
$0.25
MetaMask Predictions4%
$2.00
Jupiter Predictmatches the exchange fee
~$1.00 to $2.00

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.

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