Tour De France 2026: Green Jersey: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks who will wear the Green Jersey at the end of the 2026 Tour de France. The Green Jersey is awarded to the best sprinter in the race, the rider who collects the most points by winning or placing high in mass-finish stages. A Yes on Mads Pedersen means he finishes the race with more sprinting points than anyone else. Each rider listed is a separate option, so you are picking which one takes the jersey home to Paris. The market settles on whichever rider the UCI officially recognizes as the Green Jersey winner when the 2026 Tour de France concludes, which must happen by August 9, 2026. The UCI is cycling's global governing body and the definitive authority here. If the race is cancelled or finishes after that deadline, the market resolves to a catch-all option called 'Other'. A tie would follow UCI's own tiebreak rules, and if somehow two winners were announced, the rider whose last name comes first alphabetically would be used. None of the provided news headlines relate to the Tour de France, cycling, or any of the riders listed. There is nothing relevant to report from the given sources. The kind of news that would matter here includes sprint stage results as the race unfolds, any rider withdrawals due to crashes or illness, and official points standings published by the UCI during the race. Mads Pedersen is priced very heavily by the market at 88%, so the main uncertainty is not really a two-sided debate. It is more about whether something unexpected disrupts his campaign: a crash, illness, a rival outsprinting him consistently, or a race scenario that favors a different style of rider. Sprinting competitions can shift quickly if a top rider abandons the race. The odds imply most participants see Pedersen as the strong frontrunner, but cycling is physically unpredictable over three weeks.

The odds right now

• Mads Pedersen+17.5 pts (1w)86%
• Jasper Philipsen-5.0 pts (1w)8%
• Biniam Girmay-31.2 pts (1w)3%
• Cian Uijtdebroeks-6.8 pts (1w)3%
• Tadej Pogačar-7.3 pts (1w)0%
• Tom Pidcock-34.8 pts (1w)0%
• Olav Kooij-4.1 pts (1w)0%
• Milan Fretin-35.9 pts (1w)0%
• Florian Lipowitz-35.9 pts (1w)0%
• Richard Carapaz-9.4 pts (1w)0%
• Kévin Vauquelin-9.4 pts (1w)0%
• Lennert Van Eetvelt-9.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 9, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Green Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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