What will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say on Hot Ones?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland will say specific words out loud during their Hot Ones interview. Hot Ones is a popular YouTube interview show where celebrities answer questions while eating increasingly spicy chicken wings. Three words are being tracked here: 'Brother,' 'Punisher,' and 'Odyssey.' A Yes means at least one of the two guests says that word at some point during the episode. A No means neither of them does. The market settles based on what is actually said in the episode released on the First We Feast YouTube channel on or before July 24, 2026. If either guest says the tracked word, that bracket resolves Yes. If neither says it, that bracket resolves No. There is one important edge case: if the appearance is cancelled or the episode simply does not air by July 24 at 11:59 PM ET, a special bracket called 'No Qualifying Event' resolves Yes and every word bracket resolves No automatically. None of the news provided is related to this market. There are no headlines about Jon Bernthal, Tom Holland, or the Hot Ones episode. If you want to follow this closely, the thing to watch for is any announcement from Hot Ones or either guest about a cancellation or schedule change before the episode airs. The biggest unknown is simply what two people will spontaneously say in a conversation. 'Brother' is a common word in everyday speech, which is probably why the market prices it high at 81%. 'Punisher' is Bernthal's famous Marvel role, so it could easily come up. 'Odyssey' likely refers to Tom Holland's recent film work. Even so, no one can know for certain what words a person will use until they say them, and the cancellation clause adds a small but real extra layer of uncertainty.

The odds right now

• Brother81%
• Punisher80%
• Odyssey78%
• Spider / Spider-man 5+ times75%
• Fuck / Fucking 5+ times69%
• Soccer60%
• Milk 3+ times54%
• Zendaya51%
• Marvel51%
• Pitbull51%
• Brother / Mate 10+ times48%
• Ice Cream41%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

Jon Bernthal and Tom Holland are scheduled to appear on Hot Ones on July 23, 2026, 11AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say the listed term during their appearance on Hot Ones on July 23. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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