Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
New here?
Understand this market
This market asks whether Israel and Lebanon will hold a real, face-to-face diplomatic meeting before a given deadline — meaning officials from both sides sit down together, in person, with the actual purpose of discussing relations between the two countries. A Yes means that meeting happens and is publicly confirmed. A No means it doesn't happen in time, or that only phone calls, informal encounters, or third-party-only meetings take place.
Order Book
June 30
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Read the full market guide →Related Markets
June 30
83%