GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how big GRVT's token will be on its first full day of trading. GRVT is a crypto exchange project, and like many crypto projects, it plans to launch its own governance token. The 'FDV' (Fully Diluted Valuation) is basically a way to measure the total value of all tokens that will ever exist, multiplied by the current price. Think of it like market cap for the whole eventual supply. A 'Yes' means GRVT launches and reaches the dollar threshold listed. A 'No' means it either never launches or the valuation falls short. The market settles based on one specific snapshot: the token price at 4:00 PM Eastern Time on the day after the token officially launches. To count as a launch, the token must be freely tradable by the public. The FDV is calculated by multiplying total token supply by the price at that moment, using whichever trading venue has the most volume. There is one important edge case: if GRVT does not launch a token at all before December 31, 2027, every threshold market here automatically resolves No, regardless of how promising the project looks. No recent news was provided for this market. The key things worth watching for would be any official announcement from GRVT about a token launch date, details about total token supply, or any early exchange listings that hint at initial pricing. The market prices the $50M threshold at 98% and $150M at 92%, so the crowd is quite confident GRVT will launch and reach these levels. The main remaining uncertainty is not which side is right but whether something unexpected happens: a delayed or cancelled launch, a sharp crypto market downturn at exactly the wrong moment, or a token price that craters on day one. Crypto launches are notoriously volatile, and a single bad day of trading could flip the outcome even if the project is healthy long-term.

The odds right now

• $50M-0.8 pts (1w)98%
• $100M-0.8 pts (1w)96%
• $150M92%
• $200M86%
• $250M82%
• $300M-1.0 pts (1w)65%
• $350M43%
• $400M33%
• $500M+2.0 pts (1w)28%
• $550M24%
• $450M22%
• $600M17%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves January 1, 2028

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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