Highest temperature in Karachi on July 20?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the hottest moment of the day in Karachi on July 20, 2026? Specifically, it asks you to pick which temperature, 32°C, 33°C, or 34°C, will match the single highest reading recorded that day at one particular weather station, Masroor Airbase. Think of it like guessing the peak on a thermometer at one spot in the city over the course of that one day. The market settles based on the highest temperature logged at Masroor Airbase Station on July 20, 2026, as shown on the Weather Underground website. Whatever the single peak reading is, rounded to the nearest whole degree Celsius, determines which option wins. The data is only locked in after the first reading from July 21 appears on that site, so late corrections on the 20th still count. Only those three temperature options are offered, so if the actual high falls outside that range, the closest bracket wins. No recent news relevant to Karachi's weather on July 20, 2026 was provided. The only headline available concerns flooding in a different region of South Asia and has no bearing here. To follow this market, the thing worth watching would be extended weather forecasts for Karachi as that date approaches, particularly any signals about monsoon cloud cover or unusual heat, which can swing daily highs noticeably. July in Karachi is genuinely tricky to pin down to a single degree. The city sits on the Arabian Sea coast, and monsoon moisture can arrive unpredictably, pushing highs down with cloud cover on some days while clear, dry spells let temperatures climb. A difference of just a few kilometers in wind direction can shift the peak reading at one specific station. The market currently leans toward 33°C, but 32°C holds a meaningful share too, reflecting real uncertainty about whether coastal cooling or inland heat dominates that particular day.

The odds right now

• 33°C41%
• 32°C39%
• 31°C10%
• 34°C7%
• 35°C1%
• 30°C1%
• 29°C0%
• 36°C0%
• 27°C or below0%
• 28°C0%
• 37°C or higher0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 20, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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