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Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 25?: how this market works

31%weatherUpdated 2 min ago

What you need to know

This market is asking: what will be the single highest temperature reading of the day at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on July 25, 2026? The three main choices are 29°C, 30°C, or 31°C, and you are picking which one bracket that peak temperature falls into. It is not about the average temperature for the day, just the hottest single reading recorded at that airport station. After July 25, 2026 ends, whoever runs this market checks the Weather Underground website for the Kuala Lumpur International Airport station and reads off the highest temperature logged that day, in whole degrees Celsius. Whichever temperature bracket contains that number wins. One small detail: the market waits until the first data point from July 26 appears on the site before it is settled, to make sure all July 25 readings are captured. Any corrections to the data made after that cutoff point are ignored. No relevant weather news was provided for this market. The kind of update that would matter here is a forecast for Kuala Lumpur specifically around July 25, 2026, or any news about unusual heat events in Malaysia in that period. Kuala Lumpur sits near the equator and is consistently hot and humid, so daily highs cluster in a fairly narrow range, which is why the three choices are only a degree apart. That narrow range is exactly what makes this hard to call: a single passing cloud, a brief afternoon rainstorm, or a slightly different wind pattern can shift the peak reading by one degree. The market spreads the odds fairly evenly across 29, 30, and 31 degrees, reflecting genuine uncertainty about which exact degree the thermometer lands on.

The odds right now

  • 30°C31%
  • 31°C28%
  • 29°C18%
  • 32°C11%
  • 28°C10%
  • 33°C or higher8%
  • 27°C1%
  • 23°C or below0%
  • 24°C0%
  • 25°C0%
  • 26°C0%

Price history

30°C

31%+5.0%

How this resolves

Resolves July 25, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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