The International 2026: Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: which team will win the Dota 2 world championship in 2026? The International is the biggest annual tournament in Dota 2, a popular team-based video game, and this market lists several teams as options. If you pick a team and that team finishes in first place, the market resolves Yes for that team. Everyone who picked a different team gets No. The three teams shown are Team Vision at 23%, Team Yandex at 19%, and Team Falcons at 11%, meaning a large chunk of remaining probability is spread across other teams not listed. The market settles on whichever team wins first place at The International 2026, which runs August 13 to August 23, 2026. The result will be confirmed using Dotabuff, a well-known Dota 2 stats website, or credible news reporting. Two edge cases worth knowing: if two teams somehow tie, the one that comes first alphabetically wins the market, which is an unusual rule. And if no winner is declared by September 6, 2026, the market resolves to a catch-all option called 'Other' instead of any specific team. None of the provided news headlines relate to The International 2026, Dota 2, or esports in any way. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kinds of developments that would actually matter for this market are tournament qualifier results, roster changes for competing teams, and any official announcements from the tournament organizer about format or seeding. Even the leading team sits at only 23%, which tells you this tournament is genuinely wide open. Dota 2 tournaments are notoriously hard to predict: team form shifts quickly, rosters change, and upsets at The International are common. The event is still weeks away, meaning rosters could change and momentum could shift before a single match is played. There are also many unlisted teams folded into an implied 'Other' category, which collectively hold a large share of the probability, adding another layer of unpredictability.

The odds right now

• TEAM VISION-7.5 pts (1w)23%
• Team Yandex-15.0 pts (1w)19%
• Team Resilience-15.6 pts (1w)10%
• Team Falcons-4.0 pts (1w)10%
• BoomBoys-22.0 pts (1w)10%
• 1w Team-19.5 pts (1w)9%
• Team Spirit-25.0 pts (1w)9%
• Aurora Gaming-3.5 pts (1w)8%
• Team Liquid-24.0 pts (1w)7%
• Xtreme Gaming-10.8 pts (1w)6%
• Vici Gaming+2.1 pts (1w)3%
• LGD Gaming-23.2 pts (1w)3%

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at The International 2026 tournament, scheduled for August 13, 2026 - August 23, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.