TN-08 House Election Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which party will win the congressional seat for Tennessee's 8th district in the 2026 midterm elections. A Yes for Republicans means a Republican candidate wins that House seat. A Yes for Democrats means a Democrat wins it. Tennessee's 8th district covers a large stretch of western and rural Tennessee, and it has been a reliably Republican-leaning area for years. The market settles based on who wins the TN-08 race on Election Day, November 3, 2026. The winner is determined first by credible news consensus, and if there is any dispute, the official Federal Election Commission results take over as the final word. One thing worth noting: if an independent wins, they are assigned to whichever major party they say they intend to caucus with, so an independent candidate does not automatically leave the market unresolved. None of the provided recent headlines relate directly to the TN-08 race. There is no recent news here about candidates, primaries, or district-level developments in Tennessee's 8th. The kind of news that would matter most to watch for includes who files to run, primary results in the district, and any candidate fundraising reports. The market prices this heavily toward Republicans at 92%, so this is not a genuinely close contest in the market's current view. The honest uncertainty here is not really about two equal sides. It is about whether something unexpected happens, such as an unusually strong Democratic candidate, a major national shift in political mood, a Republican scandal, or a low-turnout primary producing a weak nominee. Those scenarios exist but the market currently treats them as unlikely.

The odds right now

• Republican Party+5.5 pts (1w)92%
• Democratic Party-6.8 pts (1w)8%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves November 3, 2026

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.