Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks who will wear the Polka Dot Jersey at the end of the 2026 Tour de France, which means who finishes as the best climber in the race. The Polka Dot Jersey is cycling's prize for the rider who scores the most points on mountain climbs throughout the Tour. A Yes for Pogačar means he accumulates the most climbing points across the whole race; a Yes for Carapaz or Paret-Peintre means one of them does instead. The market settles on whoever the UCI officially names as the 2026 Tour de France King of the Mountains, which is the formal title for the Polka Dot Jersey winner. The result must be declared before August 9, 2026. If the race is cancelled or finishes after that date, the market pays out to a catch-all option called 'Other' rather than any named rider. Ties follow UCI tiebreak rules, and if that still produces two winners, the rider whose last name comes first alphabetically is used. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 Tour de France or cycling. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of developments worth watching would be stage results as the race unfolds, any rider crashes or withdrawals, and how the mountain stages are structured in this year's route. The biggest single uncertainty is Pogačar himself. He has shown the ability to dominate climbing competitions almost at will, which is why the market prices him at 55%, well ahead of the field. But the Polka Dot Jersey does not always go to the overall race favorite. Specialists sometimes target it stage by stage while top contenders save energy. Crashes, illness, or a tactical decision to focus on the yellow jersey could change things. The race has not happened yet, so the route difficulty and daily results will shape everything.

The odds right now

• Tadej Pogačar-14.5 pts (1w)56%
• Valentin Paret-Peintre+15.5 pts (1w)21%
• Richard Carapaz-25.0 pts (1w)21%
• Lenny Martinez-4.5 pts (1w)3%
• Luke Plapp-23.8 pts (1w)3%
• Derek Gee-West-15.0 pts (1w)3%
• Jai Hindley-14.1 pts (1w)3%
• Adam Yates-33.1 pts (1w)3%
• Kévin Vauquelin-13.6 pts (1w)3%
• Cian Uijtdebroeks-21.8 pts (1w)3%
• Ben Healy-1.1 pts (1w)3%
• Isaac del Toro-40.4 pts (1w)3%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 9, 2026

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Polka Dot Jersey for the 2026 Tour De France. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by UCI rules. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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