What price will Ethereum hit on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking how high or how low Ethereum's price will reach on July 23, 2026, with three separate price levels to consider. A 'Yes' on the $1,900 level means ETH touched $1,900 or below at some point that day. A 'Yes' on $1,950 or $2,000 means ETH touched those prices or higher at some point. Each level is its own question, so they are tracking the daily range of ETH, not just where it closes. Each level resolves based on one specific data source: the ETH/USDT trading pair on Binance, using one-minute price candles. For $1,900 (the downside level), it resolves Yes if any single one-minute candle's lowest point touches $1,900 or below. For $1,950 and $2,000 (the upside levels), it resolves Yes if any candle's highest point touches those prices or above. The full window is midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time on July 23. Only Binance data counts, not other exchanges. None of the recent news provided relates to Ethereum or crypto markets. There are no relevant headlines to summarize here. The kind of news that would matter for this market includes major crypto regulatory announcements, significant moves in Bitcoin, broader financial market shocks, or large on-chain Ethereum events like protocol upgrades or exchange outflows. Crypto prices can move sharply within a single day, which makes a one-day range question genuinely difficult to call. The market currently prices the $1,900 downside touch as the most likely outcome at 47%, with $1,950 to the upside at 40%, suggesting traders see ETH sitting close to these levels with real movement possible in either direction. A single large trade, a macro news event, or a broader market swing could push ETH across any of these thresholds within minutes, making this highly sensitive to events no one can fully anticipate.

The odds right now

• ↓ 1,90059%
• ↑ 1,95032%
• ↓ 1,8507%
• ↑ 2,0006%
• ↓ 1,8002%
• ↑ 2,1002%
• ↓ 1,7502%
• ↑ 2,0502%
• ↑ 2,2000%
• ↑ 2,1500%
• ↓ 1,7000%
• ↓ 1,6000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.