Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: will Zelenskyy and Putin actually sit in the same room and talk before the end of 2026, and if so, where? A 'Yes' for any location means a real, in-person meeting happened there. The dominant answer, priced at 89%, is that no such meeting happens at all before 2027. The small percentages on Switzerland and the US reflect the slim chance a peace summit gets arranged in a neutral country or brokered by America. The market settles based on whether a confirmed, in-person meeting between the two leaders occurs by December 31, 2026. If it does, it resolves to whichever country hosted it. If it does not, it resolves to 'No meeting before 2027.' One notable rule: if a meeting were held in Crimea or other Ukrainian territory currently controlled by Russia, the market would count that location as Russia. Resolution is based on consensus from credible news reporting, not an official announcement from either government. None of the provided recent headlines relate directly to a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. The news mentions Putin meeting with North Korea's foreign minister, which shows Russian diplomacy is active, but that is a very different kind of engagement. There is no reported progress toward a face-to-face summit between the two leaders. The kind of news that would matter here would be reports of direct back-channel talks or a confirmed summit invitation accepted by both sides. The core uncertainty is whether a war that has been running for years can produce the political conditions for a summit in under 18 months. These two leaders have not met since before the full-scale invasion began in 2022. A meeting would require not just a ceasefire discussion but a level of trust and diplomatic scaffolding that does not visibly exist yet. The market prices this as very unlikely at 89%, so the main open question is simply whether something unexpected breaks through, not whether two equal paths exist.

The odds right now

• No meeting before 2027+1.0 pts (1w)89%
• Switzerland+0.4 pts (1w)3%
• US-0.1 pts (1w)2%
• Qatar / UAE-0.7 pts (1w)2%
• Turkey-0.4 pts (1w)1%
• Saudi Arabia+0.2 pts (1w)1%
• Russia1%
• Belarus1%
• Kazakhstan-0.1 pts (1w)1%
• China+0.2 pts (1w)1%
• Hungary+0.2 pts (1w)1%
• Italy / Vatican+0.1 pts (1w)1%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.