Which companies will be acquired before 2027?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether each listed company will receive a takeover offer before the end of 2026. For each name, a Yes means someone announces a deal to buy that company. A No means the year ends with no such announcement. The three companies here are PayPal, the well-known digital payments platform; MGM Resorts, the large hotel and casino group; and Viking Therapeutics, a biotech company focused on metabolic diseases like obesity. Each company is treated as a separate question with its own odds. The market settles Yes the moment a credible acquisition agreement is announced, even if the deal later falls apart or gets blocked by regulators. The key word is 'agreement': a signed deal or a publicly confirmed offer counts, but rumors alone do not. The deadline is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Official company statements are the primary source, but a clear consensus of credible news reporting also qualifies. If no agreement is announced by that deadline, it resolves No. None of the provided news headlines relate to PayPal, MGM Resorts, or Viking Therapeutics. There is no relevant recent news to point to here. The kind of development worth watching for would be any report of acquisition talks, a company hiring financial advisers to explore a sale, or a major investor publicly pushing for a buyout of one of these three companies. Each company carries its own sources of doubt. PayPal and MGM are priced well above 50%, meaning the market sees acquisition as more likely than not, but deals at this scale depend on financing conditions, regulatory approval climates, and the right buyer emerging at the right price. Viking Therapeutics sits closer to a coin toss, partly because biotech acquisitions are harder to time. For all three, a deal can collapse at the negotiation stage before any public announcement, which would leave the market resolving No even if talks were close.

The odds right now

• MGM Resorts-18.5 pts (1w)67%
• PayPal+28.5 pts (1w)44%
• Viking Therapeutics-8.0 pts (1w)36%
• Brown-Forman-15.0 pts (1w)27%
• Snapchat+0.7 pts (1w)21%
• Perplexity AI-4.5 pts (1w)17%
• Zoom Video Communications-0.3 pts (1w)16%
• Nebius Group+3.0 pts (1w)16%
• Ubisoft+1.0 pts (1w)13%
• BP12%
• Lovable-6.5 pts (1w)11%
• GitLab-8.0 pts (1w)10%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves December 31, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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