Which Continent Will Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks which part of the world the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event champion will be from, based on their citizenship. The WSOP Main Event is the most famous poker tournament in the world, held every year in Las Vegas. A Yes for North America means the winner holds a passport from the US, Canada, Mexico, or a Central American or Caribbean country. A Yes for Europe means the winner is a citizen of a European nation. The continent is tied to nationality, not where the player lives or was born. The market settles based on the official nationality of whoever finishes in first place at the 2026 WSOP Main Event, with the final table scheduled for August 3 to 5, 2026. The WSOP website is the primary source. If the winner has dual citizenship, whichever nationality the WSOP lists first decides the continent. A few edge cases matter: Russia and Turkey both count as Europe under the rules here. If the event is cancelled or delayed past September 30, 2026, the market resolves to a separate outcome called Other, not to any continent. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 WSOP Main Event or poker more broadly. To follow this market, the most useful things to watch for would be coverage of the Main Event itself once it begins in July 2026, including which players advance deep into the tournament and the final table lineup announced before August. The main reason North America is priced so high is simple math: American players make up the large majority of WSOP Main Event entrants most years, so statistically the winner is often American. But poker is a game where a single player can run deep regardless of where they are from, and European players have won the Main Event multiple times in recent decades. The tournament field of thousands means even a strong statistical favorite can lose to one unexpected deep run by anyone at the table.

The odds right now

• North America+34.5 pts (1w)87%
• Europe-20.5 pts (1w)14%
• Asia-1.0 pts (1w)1%
• South America-0.1 pts (1w)0%
• Africa-2.3 pts (1w)0%
• Oceania-11.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the continent associated with the winner (1st place) of the $10,000 No-Limit Hold'em Main Event at the 2026 World Series of Poker, held in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Main Event runs July 2–13, 2026, with the final table scheduled for August 3–5, 2026. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.