WSOP Main Event Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks who will win the biggest poker tournament in the world this year. The WSOP Main Event is a massive no-limit Texas Hold'em poker competition with a $10,000 entry fee, held in Las Vegas every summer. A Yes on any named player means that person wins the whole tournament and takes home the championship. The market currently lists three specific players, plus an implied "Other" option covering the thousands of other players who could win. The market settles on whoever is officially declared the winner of the 2026 WSOP Main Event, using results from wsop.com or reliable news coverage. The tournament runs July 2 through August 5, 2026, with a hard deadline of August 19, 2026. If the tournament is cancelled, delayed past that deadline, or no winner is named in time, the whole market resolves as "Other" rather than any named player. One quirky edge case: if somehow two players are declared winners, the one whose last name comes first alphabetically wins the market. None of the provided news headlines relate to the 2026 WSOP Main Event. The tournament is scheduled to run through early August 2026, so the kind of news that would matter here includes daily chip counts, player eliminations, and final table announcements from wsop.com or poker coverage sites like PokerNews. Poker tournaments are extremely hard to predict because thousands of players enter, and even the best players in the world win the Main Event only once in a lifetime, if ever. A single bad hand can eliminate anyone. The three named players represent a combined 60% of the market odds, which is notable, but it also means the market still gives a real chance to everyone else in the field. Until the final table is set, nearly anything can happen.

The odds right now

• Lucas Jumalon34%
• Rami Hammoud16%
• Michael Gagliano11%
• Jamie Shaevel9%
• Greg Mueller9%
• Mario Boos8%
• Han Feng7%
• Lauri Saaskilahti5%
• Evagoras Evagorou5%

Price history

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event ($10,000 No-Limit Hold'em World Championship), currently scheduled for July 2 – August 5, 2026, at Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nevada. If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.