WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking which Democrat will win the right to represent their party in Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district race in November 2026. A win for Rebecca Cooke means she becomes the Democratic candidate on the general election ballot. A win for Emily Berge means she does. The primary is the internal party vote that decides who gets the nomination, not the final election itself. The market settles on whoever wins the Democratic primary vote on August 11, 2026. The result is confirmed using official Democratic Party sources. One important detail: if the winner later steps aside and the party replaces them before the general election, this market still counts the original primary winner, not the replacement. If no nominee is confirmed by November 3, 2026, it resolves as 'Other'. None of the provided news headlines relate to this Wisconsin congressional race. If you want to follow this market, the kinds of developments worth watching would be candidate endorsements, local polling, fundraising reports, or any candidate entering or dropping out of the race before the August 11 primary. At 96%, the market is heavily tilted toward Rebecca Cooke, so this is not a close call in the eyes of current participants. The main remaining uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected disrupts the race before August 11, such as a new candidate entering, a major controversy, or a candidate withdrawing. Those events are genuinely hard to anticipate in advance, which is why a small slice of probability remains on the other side.

The odds right now

• Rebecca Cooke+10.0 pts (1w)96%
• Emily Berge-10.1 pts (1w)4%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves August 11, 2026

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.