← Markets
Highest temperature in Austin on July 21?

Highest temperature in Austin on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$14.8k 24h vol·weather
$14.8k total volume

100-101°F

44%+0.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Austin get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it asks which temperature range will contain the single highest reading of the day, measured at Austin's main airport weather station. A 100-101°F outcome means the hottest moment of that day lands somewhere in that two-degree window, while a 98-99°F outcome means the peak stays a bit cooler, and so on for the other ranges listed.

OutcomeYesNo
100-101°F
98-99°F
102-103°F
96-97°F
104-105°F
94-95°F
106-107°F
92-93°F
89°F or below
90-91°F

Order Book

100-101°F

PriceSharesTotal
53.0¢5$3
52.0¢50$26
50.0¢10$5
49.0¢60$29
48.0¢86$41
47.0¢858$403
46.0¢541$249
45.0¢8$4
45.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
43.0¢404$174
42.0¢725$305
41.0¢105$43
40.0¢35$14
33.0¢14$5
28.0¢5$1
27.0¢35$9
26.0¢232$60
$611 bids$760 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

100-101°F

45%