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Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$7.6k 24h vol·weather
$7.5k total volume

31°C

27%-1.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Beijing get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it asks for the single highest temperature recorded that day at Beijing Capital International Airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius. Each option, like 31°C or 32°C, is a temperature bucket, and whichever one matches the actual peak temperature that day wins. Think of it as picking the top number on a thermometer at the end of a summer day.

OutcomeYesNo
31°C
30°C
32°C
29°C
33°C
28°C
34°C
27°C
35°C or higher
26°C

Order Book

31°C

PriceSharesTotal
36.0¢50$18
34.0¢80$27
33.0¢5$2
32.0¢73$23
31.0¢391$121
30.0¢2.3k$691
29.0¢945$274
28.0¢113$32
30.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
26.0¢927$241
25.0¢1.7k$434
24.0¢136$33
22.0¢8$2
21.0¢14$3
19.0¢18$3
14.0¢55$8
11.0¢27$3
$727 bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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31°C

28%