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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 21?

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$15.5k 24h vol·weather
$15.5k total volume

13°C

37%+10.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 21, 2026, what will the warmest temperature of the day be in Buenos Aires? The three options are 13°C, 14°C, or 15°C, and you are picking which one the thermometer will hit at its highest point. To put that in physical terms: 13°C is a cool winter day where you need a jacket, 14°C is slightly milder but still firmly cold, and 15°C is on the warmer edge of a typical Buenos Aires winter afternoon. July is mid-winter in Argentina, so these are all realistic cool-weather readings.

OutcomeYesNo
13°C
14°C
15°C
12°C
16°C
11°C
17°C
10°C
18°C
9°C or below

Order Book

13°C

PriceSharesTotal
47.0¢229$108
46.0¢121$56
45.0¢32$14
44.0¢30$13
40.0¢429$172
39.0¢431$168
38.0¢1.0k$393
37.0¢149$55
37.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
36.0¢1.0k$375
35.0¢1.6k$548
34.0¢624$212
33.0¢443$146
31.0¢24$7
29.0¢25$7
26.0¢55$14
20.0¢5$1
$1.3k bids$979 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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13°C

37%