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Highest temperature in Dallas on July 21?

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$21.3k 24h vol·weather
$21.3k total volume

104-105°F

43%-11.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 21, 2026, how hot will it get in Dallas? Specifically, it wants to know which temperature range the day's peak heat will fall into. Yes or No doesn't apply here the way it does in most markets. Instead, you're picking a bracket: will the hottest moment of that day land between 102-103°F, 104-105°F, 106-107°F, or somewhere else? The winner is whichever range actually contains the single highest temperature recorded that day.

OutcomeYesNo
104-105°F
106-107°F
102-103°F
108-109°F
100-101°F
110-111°F
99°F or below
112-113°F
114-115°F
116-117°F

Order Book

104-105°F

PriceSharesTotal
51.0¢124$63
50.0¢407$204
48.0¢457$219
47.0¢95$45
46.0¢191$88
45.0¢121$54
44.0¢911$401
43.0¢381$164
42.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
42.0¢304$128
41.0¢2.8k$1.2k
40.0¢306$122
39.0¢99$39
38.0¢119$45
37.0¢10$4
35.0¢10$4
31.0¢19$6
$1.5k bids$1.2k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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104-105°F

43%