← Markets
Highest temperature in Denver on July 21?

Highest temperature in Denver on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$17.7k 24h vol·weather
$17.7k total volume

94-95°F

38%+17.5%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will Denver get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it asks you to pick the two-degree temperature band that will contain the day's peak temperature, measured at Buckley Space Force Base, which is a weather station in the Aurora suburb of Denver. A 'Yes' for the 92-93°F band means the hottest reading that day falls somewhere in that range, and the same logic applies to each other band.

OutcomeYesNo
94-95°F
92-93°F
96-97°F
90-91°F
88-89°F
98-99°F
86-87°F
85°F or below
100-101°F
102-103°F

Order Book

94-95°F

PriceSharesTotal
45.0¢304$137
44.0¢21$9
43.0¢40$17
42.0¢55$23
41.0¢262$107
40.0¢328$131
39.0¢682$266
38.0¢200$76
37.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
37.0¢493$182
36.0¢2.6k$934
35.0¢718$251
34.0¢189$64
33.0¢20$7
32.0¢65$21
28.0¢7$2
26.0¢55$14
$1.5k bids$767 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

94-95°F

38%