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Highest temperature in London on July 22?

Highest temperature in London on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$13.2k 24h vol·weather
$13.2k total volume

26°C

35%+7.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the hottest point of the day be in London, measured in whole degrees Celsius? Each option is a specific temperature, and whichever one matches the actual recorded high that day wins. Think of it like guessing the peak on a thermometer, where 26°C is roughly a warm summer day (about 79°F), 25°C is a little cooler, and 27°C is a touch warmer.

OutcomeYesNo
26°C
25°C
24°C
27°C
23°C
28°C
29°C
22°C
21°C
30°C or higher

Order Book

26°C

PriceSharesTotal
42.0¢105$44
41.0¢106$43
40.0¢87$35
39.0¢204$80
38.0¢369$140
37.0¢991$367
36.0¢2.1k$760
35.0¢424$148
34.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
34.0¢18$6
33.0¢1.1k$362
32.0¢2.2k$688
31.0¢264$82
26.0¢7$2
24.0¢55$13
22.0¢17$4
21.0¢5$1
$1.2k bids$1.6k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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26°C

35%