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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 21?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$20.0k 24h vol·weather
$20.0k total volume

80-81°F

40%-3.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 21, 2026, what will the hottest reading of the day be at the weather station at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)? The three options cover a narrow range, roughly from the upper 70s to the lower 80s Fahrenheit. A win for '80-81°F' means the peak temperature that day lands in that two-degree window, a win for '82-83°F' means it ran a bit hotter, and a win for '78-79°F' means it stayed a touch cooler.

OutcomeYesNo
80-81°F
78-79°F
82-83°F
84-85°F
76-77°F
74-75°F
86-87°F
88-89°F
73°F or below
90-91°F

Order Book

80-81°F

PriceSharesTotal
48.0¢562$270
47.0¢46$22
46.0¢71$33
45.0¢462$208
44.0¢228$100
43.0¢94$40
42.0¢391$164
41.0¢232$95
40.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
39.0¢135$53
38.0¢837$318
37.0¢100$37
36.0¢6$2
35.0¢10$4
32.0¢5$2
30.0¢89$27
29.0¢5$1
$443 bids$932 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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80-81°F

40%