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Highest temperature in Miami on July 21?

Highest temperature in Miami on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$7.3k 24h vol·weather
$7.3k total volume

92-93°F

55%-14.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple question: how hot will Miami get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at Miami International Airport. The three choices are ranges: 90-91°F, 92-93°F, or 94-95°F. Think of it as picking which band on a thermometer the afternoon peak will land in. For context, 92-93°F is a typical hot summer day in Miami, while 94-95°F is notably hotter than average.

OutcomeYesNo
92-93°F
90-91°F
94-95°F
88-89°F
96-97°F
98-99°F
86-87°F
84-85°F
100-101°F
102°F or higher

Order Book

92-93°F

PriceSharesTotal
73.0¢400$292
68.0¢16$11
67.0¢150$101
60.0¢40$24
59.0¢153$90
58.0¢916$531
57.0¢1.2k$702
56.0¢163$91
56.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
54.0¢5$3
53.0¢593$314
52.0¢898$467
51.0¢5$3
50.0¢218$109
49.0¢22$11
47.0¢10$5
46.0¢22$10
$921 bids$1.8k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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92-93°F

56%