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Highest temperature in NYC on July 21?

Highest temperature in NYC on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$22.2k 24h vol·weather
$22.2k total volume

80-81°F

31%+2.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: how hot will New York City get on July 21, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day, measured at LaGuardia Airport. The market breaks possible answers into ranges: will the peak be in the upper 70s, around 80-81°F, or cooler in the mid-70s? Think of it as picking which band on a thermometer the afternoon heat will land in.

OutcomeYesNo
80-81°F
78-79°F
82-83°F
76-77°F
74-75°F
84-85°F
86-87°F
72-73°F
71°F or below
88-89°F

Order Book

80-81°F

PriceSharesTotal
42.0¢45$19
38.0¢45$17
37.0¢23$9
36.0¢10$4
35.0¢73$26
34.0¢497$169
33.0¢588$194
32.0¢125$40
33.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
30.0¢283$85
29.0¢1.2k$338
28.0¢131$37
24.0¢7$2
22.0¢55$12
20.0¢5$1
19.0¢386$73
18.0¢982$177
$724 bids$477 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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80-81°F

32%