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Highest temperature in Paris on July 22?

Highest temperature in Paris on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$9.5k 24h vol·weather
$9.5k total volume

27°C

38%+1.5%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the hottest part of the day feel like in Paris? Specifically, it asks you to pick the peak temperature recorded that day at a real weather station near Paris. A result of 27°C means a warm summer day, around 81°F. A result of 28°C is a little hotter, closer to 82°F. A result of 26°C is slightly cooler, around 79°F. The three options cover a narrow band of typical mid-summer Paris temperatures.

OutcomeYesNo
27°C
26°C
25°C
28°C
29°C
24°C
23°C
30°C or higher
20°C or below
21°C

Order Book

27°C

PriceSharesTotal
46.0¢32$15
45.0¢39$18
44.0¢7$3
42.0¢10$4
41.0¢278$114
40.0¢1.1k$424
39.0¢1.6k$643
38.0¢475$181
37.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
37.0¢659$244
36.0¢987$355
35.0¢16.8k$5.9k
34.0¢404$137
33.0¢32$11
31.0¢62$19
29.0¢56$16
28.0¢14$4
$6.7k bids$1.4k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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27°C

38%