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Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?

Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$13.6k 24h vol·weather
$13.6k total volume

35°C

37%+9.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking a simple weather question: how hot will Tokyo get on July 22, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature reading of that day at Tokyo's Haneda Airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius. You pick a temperature, and if the thermometer peaks at that number on that day, that option wins. Think of it like guessing the top of the thermometer for one summer day in one of the world's biggest cities.

OutcomeYesNo
35°C
36°C
34°C
37°C
33°C
38°C
32°C
39°C or higher
31°C
29°C or below

Order Book

35°C

PriceSharesTotal
47.0¢60$28
46.0¢16$7
45.0¢95$43
43.0¢50$22
41.0¢80$33
40.0¢732$293
39.0¢1.3k$512
38.0¢369$140
36.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
36.0¢171$62
35.0¢1.4k$506
34.0¢16.2k$5.5k
31.0¢50$16
30.0¢65$20
28.0¢14$4
26.0¢55$14
23.0¢98$22
$6.2k bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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35°C

37%