← Markets
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 21?

Highest temperature in Toronto on July 21?

Resolves Jul 21, 2026·$12.5k 24h vol·weather
$12.5k total volume

26°C

32%+6.0%

New here?

Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 21, 2026, what will be the hottest temperature of the day at Toronto's Pearson International Airport, measured in whole degrees Celsius? Participants pick a temperature, and whoever picks the correct one wins. It is not a yes/no question but a multiple-choice one, with each possible temperature carrying its own odds. Right now the crowd slightly favors 26°C as the most likely daily high, followed by 27°C and then 25°C.

OutcomeYesNo
26°C
25°C
27°C
28°C
24°C
23°C or below
29°C
30°C
31°C
32°C

Order Book

26°C

PriceSharesTotal
40.0¢5$2
39.0¢60$23
38.0¢96$37
37.0¢45$17
36.0¢145$52
35.0¢1.2k$430
34.0¢342$116
33.0¢67$22
33.0¢last trade
2.0¢ spread
31.0¢184$57
30.0¢1.0k$302
29.0¢278$81
28.0¢5$1
27.0¢15$4
25.0¢14$4
23.0¢55$13
19.0¢958$182
$643 bids$699 asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Read the full market guide →

26°C

33%