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Highest temperature in Wellington on July 22?

Highest temperature in Wellington on July 22?

Resolves Jul 22, 2026·$12.1k 24h vol·weather
$12.1k total volume

13°C

47%+21.0%

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Understand this market

This market is asking: on July 22, 2026, what will the single highest temperature of the day be at Wellington Airport in New Zealand? Wellington is in the Southern Hemisphere, so July is the middle of winter there, which is why the options cluster around 13 to 15 degrees Celsius, roughly 55 to 59 degrees Fahrenheit. A chilly winter day, in other words. The three options represent three possible temperature bands, and whichever one contains the actual recorded high wins.

OutcomeYesNo
13°C
14°C
15°C
12°C
16°C
11°C
17°C
10°C
9°C or below
18°C

Order Book

13°C

PriceSharesTotal
59.0¢35$21
56.0¢132$74
52.0¢50$26
51.0¢16$8
50.0¢65$33
49.0¢130$64
48.0¢1.3k$638
47.0¢536$252
47.0¢last trade
1.0¢ spread
46.0¢622$286
45.0¢1.2k$545
44.0¢509$224
43.0¢271$116
42.0¢27$11
35.0¢17$6
34.0¢98$33
33.0¢68$22
$1.2k bids$1.1k asks

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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13°C

47%