Highest temperature in Panama City on July 24?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking a simple question: how hot will Panama City get on July 24, 2026? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day at the Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport weather station. The options are temperature ranges, and you pick which bucket that peak reading will fall into. Think of it like guessing the hottest moment of the day on a thermometer, rounded to a whole number in Celsius. The market settles based on the highest temperature reading logged at the Marcos A. Gelabert Airport station on July 24, 2026, as shown on Weather Underground. The reading is rounded to a whole degree Celsius, so 31.7°C would count as 31°C. The market cannot close until the first data point from July 25 appears on that page, at which point the final peak reading from July 24 is locked in. Any corrections published before that cutoff count; corrections after do not. None of the provided news stories have any connection to this market. There are no recent weather reports or forecasts for Panama City around July 24, 2026 to point to. The kind of update that would matter here is a short-range weather forecast for Panama City in the days leading up to July 24, or any reports of unusual heat or storm patterns affecting Panama. Weather is genuinely hard to pin down, even a day in advance, and this market covers a date still in the future. Panama City in late July typically sees hot, humid conditions, which is why the market leans toward 31°C. But daily peak temperatures can shift several degrees based on cloud cover, afternoon rain, and wind. The spread across 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C shows real disagreement. A passing storm could cap the heat; a clear morning could push it higher.

The odds right now

• 31°C38%
• 30°C32%
• 29°C17%
• 32°C14%
• 28°C3%
• 33°C2%
• 27°C1%
• 34°C or higher1%
• 25°C0%
• 26°C0%
• 24°C or below0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.