Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking: on July 23, 2026, how hot will it get in Hong Kong? Specifically, it wants to know the single highest temperature recorded that day by the Hong Kong Observatory. The options are temperature ranges, and whichever range contains that peak reading wins. For example, if the thermometer tops out at 32.4°C, the '32°C' option resolves as correct. It is a simple question about one day's peak heat in one city. The market settles based on the official 'Absolute Daily Max' figure published by the Hong Kong Observatory for July 23, 2026, in their Daily Extract data. That number is recorded to one decimal place, like 32.7°C, and it gets matched to whichever temperature range contains it. One important detail: whatever number is published first is final. If the Observatory later corrects or revises that figure, the revision does not count. The market cannot close until that data is officially published. No recent news relevant to Hong Kong weather on July 23, 2026 was provided. The one headline available is unrelated. What would actually matter here is closer-range weather forecasts for Hong Kong in late July, or any meteorological outlooks for the region around that date. Weather is genuinely hard to predict more than a few days out, and this date is still in the future. Late July in Hong Kong is reliably hot and humid, which is why the market clusters around 32°C and 33°C, but daily peaks can shift based on cloud cover, wind direction, and whether a tropical system is nearby. A single degree separates the top two options, and the difference between, say, 31.8°C and 32.2°C is real but very small. Small differences in conditions on the day itself decide the outcome.

The odds right now

• 32°C38%
• 33°C33%
• 31°C15%
• 34°C12%
• 30°C5%
• 35°C3%
• 29°C1%
• 28°C0%
• 36°C or higher0%
• 26°C or below0%
• 27°C0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 23, 2026

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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