NYC Mayor # posts July 17 - July 24, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking how many times New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani posts on X (formerly Twitter) during one specific week. A 'Yes' for the 40-59 range means he posts between 40 and 59 times in that seven-day window, which works out to roughly 6 to 8 posts per day. The 20-39 range means a quieter week, around 3 to 5 posts a day. The 60-79 range means a very active week, closer to 9 or more posts daily. The market settles based on a post-counting tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, which monitors the @NYCMayor account on X from July 17 at noon Eastern time through July 24 at noon Eastern time. Only original posts, reposts, and quote posts count. Replies do not count, unless they somehow appear on the main feed. One important edge case: if a post is deleted within about 5 minutes of being published and the tracker missed it, it would not count, but most deleted posts still get captured. One headline is directly relevant: Mamdani was reported urging the U.S. government to enforce an ICC arrest warrant for Netanyahu on July 23. That kind of public statement typically comes with a burst of posting activity on social media to amplify the message. No other provided headlines relate to Mamdani or his X activity this week, so there is limited additional news to go on. The honest challenge here is that one person's social media habits can shift unpredictably based on news cycles, travel, or events that happen during the week. The market currently leans toward the 40-59 range at 63%, suggesting participants expect a moderately active week. But a major city crisis, a viral moment, or a quiet news stretch could push the count higher or lower without warning. Past posting patterns would help anchor this, but that data is not provided here.

The odds right now

• 40-59-1.0 pts (1w)61%
• 20-39+22.0 pts (1w)36%
• 60-79-17.9 pts (1w)3%
• 100-119-1.9 pts (1w)0%
• 80-99-7.0 pts (1w)0%
• 120-139-0.6 pts (1w)0%
• 140-159-1.1 pts (1w)0%
• 160-179-1.3 pts (1w)0%
• 180-199-1.1 pts (1w)0%
• 200+-0.4 pts (1w)0%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between July 17, 12:00 PM ET and July 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.