What price will Bitcoin hit on July 23?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels on July 23, 2026, with separate questions for an upper target and a lower target. The '↑ 66,000' question asks if Bitcoin will reach at least $66,000 at any point that day. The '↓ 65,000' question asks if it will dip to $65,000 or below. The '↓ 64,000' question asks if it will fall even further, to $64,000 or below. Each is a yes-or-no question about a single day's price range. Each question settles based on Binance's BTC/USDT price data for July 23, 2026, from midnight to 11:59 PM Eastern Time. For the upper targets, if even one single one-minute candle on Binance shows a 'High' price touching or exceeding that number, it resolves Yes. For the lower targets, if any one-minute candle's 'Low' price touches or goes below that number, it resolves Yes. Only Binance BTC/USDT data counts. Other exchanges or trading pairs are ignored entirely. None of the provided news headlines relate to Bitcoin or cryptocurrency markets. The stories cover oil company earnings and an unrelated stock. There is no relevant recent news to draw from here. The kind of developments worth watching for would be major crypto news: regulatory announcements, large exchange activity, macroeconomic data releases, or any event that historically moves Bitcoin's price sharply in a single day. Bitcoin is genuinely volatile, and a single day's price range is hard to call even hours in advance. The market currently prices the $66,000 high and the $65,000 low both at around 61%, which reflects how wide Bitcoin's typical daily swings can be. The $64,000 level is priced much lower at 16%, suggesting the market sees a deeper drop as less likely but not impossible. Any sudden news, large trade, or broad market shift could move prices sharply in either direction within minutes.

The odds right now

• ↑ 66,00076%
• ↓ 65,00044%
• ↑ 67,00016%
• ↓ 64,0007%
• ↑ 68,0003%
• ↓ 63,0002%
• ↑ 69,0001%
• ↓ 62,0001%
• ↑ 70,0000%
• ↓ 61,0000%
• ↓ 60,0000%
• ↓ 59,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 24, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.