What price will Bitcoin hit July 20-26?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether Bitcoin's price will touch specific levels during the week of July 20-26, 2026. There are two price targets being tracked separately: $66,000 on the upside and $62,000 on the downside (plus $68,000 as a higher upside target). A 'Yes' for $66,000 means Bitcoin climbed to at least that price at some point that week. A 'Yes' for $62,000 means Bitcoin dropped to at least that low. These are not predictions about where Bitcoin ends the week, just whether it touches those levels at any moment. Each price target resolves Yes the moment a single one-minute price candle on Binance's BTC/USDT chart touches the target: the candle's highest point must reach or exceed the upside targets ($66,000 or $68,000), or the candle's lowest point must reach or go below the downside target ($62,000). Only Binance data counts, not other exchanges or trading pairs. If Bitcoin never touches the target level during the window from 12:00 AM ET on July 20 to 11:59 PM ET on July 26, that target resolves No. None of the recent news provided is relevant to Bitcoin's price during this period. There are no crypto-specific headlines in the feed. To track what matters for this market, watch for major macroeconomic announcements, regulatory news involving crypto exchanges, or large moves in broader financial markets, since those tend to be the forces that push Bitcoin sharply up or down within a single week. Bitcoin is genuinely unpredictable over short windows like one week. The market currently prices the $66,000 upside touch at 54% and the $62,000 downside touch at 44%, meaning participants see both outcomes as roughly coin-flip territory. A single large news event, a sudden shift in market sentiment, or a cascade of leveraged trades can move Bitcoin thousands of dollars in minutes. The one-minute candle rule also means even a brief spike or dip counts, so extreme short-term volatility matters just as much as the overall trend.

The odds right now

• ↑ 66,00086%
• ↑ 68,00036%
• ↓ 62,00022%
• ↑ 70,00012%
• ↓ 60,0007%
• ↑ 72,0003%
• ↓ 58,0002%
• ↓ 56,0001%
• ↓ 52,0001%
• ↓ 54,0001%
• ↑ 74,0001%
• ↓ 50,0000%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 27, 2026

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.