White House # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is simply asking how many times the official White House account on X (formerly Twitter) will post in one specific week. A Yes on the highest bracket means the account posts 200 or more times between the afternoon of July 24 and the afternoon of July 31, 2026. The lower brackets cover 180-199 posts and 160-179 posts. To picture the scale: 200 posts in seven days works out to roughly 28 posts per day, which is a very active social media presence. The final count comes from an automated tracker at xtracker.polymarket.com, which watches the @WhiteHouse account and logs every main feed post, quote post, and repost during the window. Replies do not count unless they also appear on the main feed. One important detail: even deleted posts count, as long as the tracker captured them within about five minutes of posting. The market settles on whichever bracket matches the final number logged by that tracker when the window closes on July 31 at noon ET. No recent news was provided that directly relates to how often the White House posts on X. The headlines from July 22 are about Trump's political activity and media coverage, not about the @WhiteHouse account's posting patterns. The kind of development that would matter here is anything that drives a surge or slowdown in White House communications, such as a major policy announcement, a national emergency, or a significant political event during that specific week. The core challenge is that a single busy news week can push post counts well above 200, while a quieter stretch could keep them below 180. The market currently prices the 200-plus outcome at around 66%, so participants lean toward high volume, but past posting rates can shift quickly based on what is happening in politics and the news cycle. Since the window is still weeks away, nobody knows yet what events might dominate that specific week, which makes the exact count genuinely hard to pin down.

The odds right now

• 200+67%
• 180-19921%
• 160-17915%
• 140-1592%
• 100-1191%
• 120-1391%
• 60-790%
• 80-990%
• 20-390%
• 40-590%
• <200%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 31, 2026

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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