XRP above ___ on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market is asking whether XRP, a cryptocurrency, will be trading above $1.10 on a specific moment: exactly noon Eastern Time on July 21, 2026. A Yes means XRP's price is above $1.10 at that moment. A No means it is at $1.10 or below. The question is not about XRP's average price over a day or its peak, just one single price reading at noon on that date. Settlement depends on one precise data point: the closing price of the XRP/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute window that starts at noon Eastern Time on July 21, 2026. If that single recorded price is strictly above $1.10, the market settles as Yes. If it is exactly $1.10 or any amount below, it settles as No. Only Binance is used, not any other exchange, and the threshold is $1.10 with no rounding in your favor. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching would include major regulatory decisions about XRP or Ripple, broad cryptocurrency market swings, and any significant changes in trading volume or institutional interest in XRP over the roughly one year until the deadline. A full year is a very long time in cryptocurrency markets, where prices can double or fall by half within weeks. XRP has its own additional layer of unpredictability because it is sensitive to legal and regulatory news specific to Ripple, the company behind it. The market currently prices a Yes at around 71%, meaning participants lean toward XRP being above $1.10, but a lot can change between now and July 2026, and crypto history is full of surprises in both directions.

The odds right now

• 0.60100%
• 0.70100%
• 0.80100%
• 0.90100%
• 1.00100%
• 1.1095%
• 1.200%
• 1.500%
• 1.400%
• 1.300%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

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