Solana above ___ on July 21?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks a simple price question: will Solana (SOL) be trading above $80 at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 21, 2026? A Yes outcome means SOL's price crossed that level at that specific moment. A No means it was at or below $80 at noon that day. Think of it like a snapshot, not an average: only one price, at one exact minute, on one specific day decides the whole thing. The market settles based on one data point only: the closing price of the SOL/USDT trading pair on Binance during the one-minute candle that runs from noon to 12:01 ET on July 21, 2026. If that single closing price is above $80.00, it resolves Yes. At $80.00 exactly, or below, it resolves No. Prices from other exchanges like Coinbase or Kraken do not count, even if they differ from Binance at that moment. No specific recent news matched this market. Because the deadline is over a year away, the developments most worth watching over time would be broader crypto market trends, any major regulatory changes affecting Solana, network adoption news, and general shifts in investor sentiment toward crypto assets. Crypto prices can move dramatically over a year, which makes this genuinely hard to call. The market currently prices this at only 8%, meaning participants collectively see an $80 Solana as unlikely by July 2026. The main uncertainty is simply whether something unexpected, like a sharp market rally or a broader crypto surge, pushes the price that high. With over a year left, a lot can change, but the current odds reflect significant skepticism.

The odds right now

• 30100%
• 40100%
• 50100%
• 60100%
• 70100%
• 802%
• 900%
• 1000%
• 1100%
• 1200%
• 1300%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 21, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

Same markets. A fraction of the fee.

These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.