XRP above ___ on July 22?: how this market works

What you need to know

This market asks whether XRP, the cryptocurrency, will be trading above a specific price at exactly noon Eastern Time on July 22, 2026. There are two price thresholds here: $1.10 (which the market prices at 97% chance of being exceeded) and $1.20 (which the market prices at only 4% chance of being exceeded). A Yes means XRP is above that dollar amount at that specific moment. A No means it is at or below it. Settlement depends on one single data point: the closing price of the one-minute trading candle for XRP against USDT on Binance, captured at exactly 12:00 noon Eastern Time on July 22, 2026. If that price is strictly higher than the threshold ($1.10 or $1.20 depending on which market you are looking at), it resolves Yes. At or below means No. Only Binance's own data counts here, not prices from Coinbase, Kraken, or any other exchange. No specific recent news was provided for this market. The kinds of developments worth watching for would be major regulatory decisions about XRP or Ripple, broader crypto market moves, and any significant shifts in overall investor sentiment toward digital assets in the months ahead. The $1.10 threshold is priced at 97%, so the market strongly implies XRP will be above that level. The main uncertainty for that threshold is simply whether something unexpected happens, such as a major market crash, a regulatory shock, or a Ripple-specific setback. The $1.20 threshold is a genuinely open question at 4% odds. XRP is a volatile asset, and over a year-long horizon, a lot can change in either direction.

The odds right now

• 0.60100%
• 0.70100%
• 0.80100%
• 0.90100%
• 1.00100%
• 1.1096%
• 1.201%
• 1.300%
• 1.400%
• 1.500%
• 1.600%

Price history

How this resolves

Resolves July 22, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Read the full resolution rules on the live market page.

Related

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These apps all route to the same exchange order book. The difference is what each one adds on top of the exchange's own fee.

Published rates, checked July 2026. MetaMask charges a flat 4 percent per prediction trade. Jupiter adds a fee equal to the exchange's own taker fee at fill time, roughly 2 to 4 percent at typical odds. Where a market carries an exchange settlement fee, it applies everywhere, whichever app you use. Paridesk adds nothing on maker orders.

Trade this market on Paridesk: non-custodial, 0.5% fee.